National Weather Service ensemble forecasts converge on an 85–88°F peak at LaGuardia Airport, the official resolution site, placing the 86-87°F and 88-89°F outcomes in a tight race with combined implied probabilities above 75%. Mostly clear skies are maximizing solar insolation and surface heating, while minor model differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of peak insolation among GFS, ECMWF, and NAM solutions explain the narrow spread separating these bins. Above-normal warmth relative to the May climatological average near 76°F reflects favorable atmospheric conditions, with final confirmation dependent on the day's official high observation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on May 17?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 17?
86-87°F 40%
88-89°F 35%
84-85°F 14%
90-91°F 10.1%
$53,978 ปริมาณ
$53,978 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
40%
88-89°F
35%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 40%
88-89°F 35%
84-85°F 14%
90-91°F 10.1%
$53,978 ปริมาณ
$53,978 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
79°F or below
$9,576 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$6,699 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$5,320 ปริมาณ
3%
84-85°F
$5,329 ปริมาณ
14%
86-87°F
$6,205 ปริมาณ
40%
88-89°F
$3,385 ปริมาณ
35%
90-91°F
$4,135 ปริมาณ
10%
92-93°F
$3,594 ปริมาณ
2%
94-95°F
$3,667 ปริมาณ
<1%
96-97°F
$3,577 ปริมาณ
<1%
98°F or higher
$3,060 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service ensemble forecasts converge on an 85–88°F peak at LaGuardia Airport, the official resolution site, placing the 86-87°F and 88-89°F outcomes in a tight race with combined implied probabilities above 75%. Mostly clear skies are maximizing solar insolation and surface heating, while minor model differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of peak insolation among GFS, ECMWF, and NAM solutions explain the narrow spread separating these bins. Above-normal warmth relative to the May climatological average near 76°F reflects favorable atmospheric conditions, with final confirmation dependent on the day's official high observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,978วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service ensemble forecasts converge on an 85–88°F peak at LaGuardia Airport, the official resolution site, placing the 86-87°F and 88-89°F outcomes in a tight race with combined implied probabilities above 75%. Mostly clear skies are maximizing solar insolation and surface heating, while minor model differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of peak insolation among GFS, ECMWF, and NAM solutions explain the narrow spread separating these bins. Above-normal warmth relative to the May climatological average near 76°F reflects favorable atmospheric conditions, with final confirmation dependent on the day's official high observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,978วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGANational Weather Service ensemble forecasts converge on an 85–88°F peak at LaGuardia Airport, the official resolution site, placing the 86-87°F and 88-89°F outcomes in a tight race with combined implied probabilities above 75%. Mostly clear skies are maximizing solar insolation and surface heating, while minor model differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of peak insolation among GFS, ECMWF, and NAM solutions explain the narrow spread separating these bins. Above-normal warmth relative to the May climatological average near 76°F reflects favorable atmospheric conditions, with final confirmation dependent on the day's official high observation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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