Latest official forecasts and observational data from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Qingdao will reach a daily maximum of 25°C on June 14, 2026, driven by moderate southerly flow, marine influence from the Yellow Sea, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs hover near 24°C, and recent model runs show minimal deviation. Trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects this tight convergence of guidance, with negligible odds on adjacent outcomes. The primary risk to this resolution remains an unexpected late-day temperature spike or measurement adjustment at the official station, though current conditions make such shifts highly improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 14?
25°C 99.4%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$29,682 ปริมาณ
$29,682 ปริมาณ
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
99%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.4%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$29,682 ปริมาณ
$29,682 ปริมาณ
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
99%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts and observational data from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Qingdao will reach a daily maximum of 25°C on June 14, 2026, driven by moderate southerly flow, marine influence from the Yellow Sea, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs hover near 24°C, and recent model runs show minimal deviation. Trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects this tight convergence of guidance, with negligible odds on adjacent outcomes. The primary risk to this resolution remains an unexpected late-day temperature spike or measurement adjustment at the official station, though current conditions make such shifts highly improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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