National Weather Service forecasts for May 17 project a daytime maximum near 70°F in San Francisco, aligning closely with the climatological normal of 68°F at San Francisco International Airport and driving the 68°F-or-higher outcome to an 87.5% market-implied probability. This positioning stems from a warming synoptic pattern featuring light onshore flow and minimal marine-layer influence, which typically allows temperatures to reach or exceed seasonal averages without significant suppression from coastal stratus. Real-time model consensus and recent observations reinforce this range, while lower bins such as 66–67°F hold only 10% as they would require atypical cooling not supported by current atmospheric conditions. Final resolution hinges on the official KSFO recording once the daily high is confirmed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 17?
68°F or higher 84%
66-67°F 10%
64-65°F 2.1%
62-63°F <1%
$20,127 ปริมาณ
$20,127 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
10%
68°F or higher
84%
68°F or higher 84%
66-67°F 10%
64-65°F 2.1%
62-63°F <1%
$20,127 ปริมาณ
$20,127 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
49°F or below
$894 ปริมาณ
<1%
50-51°F
$1,542 ปริมาณ
<1%
52-53°F
$555 ปริมาณ
<1%
54-55°F
$608 ปริมาณ
<1%
56-57°F
$3,452 ปริมาณ
<1%
58-59°F
$2,032 ปริมาณ
<1%
60-61°F
$1,112 ปริมาณ
<1%
62-63°F
$2,097 ปริมาณ
<1%
64-65°F
$3,559 ปริมาณ
2%
66-67°F
$2,197 ปริมาณ
10%
68°F or higher
$2,088 ปริมาณ
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for May 17 project a daytime maximum near 70°F in San Francisco, aligning closely with the climatological normal of 68°F at San Francisco International Airport and driving the 68°F-or-higher outcome to an 87.5% market-implied probability. This positioning stems from a warming synoptic pattern featuring light onshore flow and minimal marine-layer influence, which typically allows temperatures to reach or exceed seasonal averages without significant suppression from coastal stratus. Real-time model consensus and recent observations reinforce this range, while lower bins such as 66–67°F hold only 10% as they would require atypical cooling not supported by current atmospheric conditions. Final resolution hinges on the official KSFO recording once the daily high is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,127วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for May 17 project a daytime maximum near 70°F in San Francisco, aligning closely with the climatological normal of 68°F at San Francisco International Airport and driving the 68°F-or-higher outcome to an 87.5% market-implied probability. This positioning stems from a warming synoptic pattern featuring light onshore flow and minimal marine-layer influence, which typically allows temperatures to reach or exceed seasonal averages without significant suppression from coastal stratus. Real-time model consensus and recent observations reinforce this range, while lower bins such as 66–67°F hold only 10% as they would require atypical cooling not supported by current atmospheric conditions. Final resolution hinges on the official KSFO recording once the daily high is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,127วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFONational Weather Service forecasts for May 17 project a daytime maximum near 70°F in San Francisco, aligning closely with the climatological normal of 68°F at San Francisco International Airport and driving the 68°F-or-higher outcome to an 87.5% market-implied probability. This positioning stems from a warming synoptic pattern featuring light onshore flow and minimal marine-layer influence, which typically allows temperatures to reach or exceed seasonal averages without significant suppression from coastal stratus. Real-time model consensus and recent observations reinforce this range, while lower bins such as 66–67°F hold only 10% as they would require atypical cooling not supported by current atmospheric conditions. Final resolution hinges on the official KSFO recording once the daily high is confirmed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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