Recent forecasts from models and meteorological services indicate Sao Paulo city highs near 30–31°C on August 20, 2026, driven by a persistent high-pressure system sustaining above-average warmth during the southern winter heat wave. This setup supports the market’s tight clustering around 31–32°C outcomes. An approaching cold front from the south, noted in regional guidance, introduces modest uncertainty by potentially enhancing cloud cover or bringing slightly cooler air to the metropolitan area by late in the day. Historical August maxima average near 23–25°C, so current conditions reflect a notable positive anomaly, though model consensus remains stable without major revisions in the past 48 hours. Updated NHC-style regional guidance and local agency runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 20?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 20?
32°C 50%
31°C 37%
33°C 11%
30°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
37%
32°C
50%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
31°C 37%
33°C 11%
30°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
26°C or below
$25 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$22 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$24 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$67 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$151 ปริมาณ
8%
31°C
$496 ปริมาณ
37%
32°C
$996 ปริมาณ
50%
33°C
$128 ปริมาณ
11%
34°C
$66 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C
$22 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C or higher
$297 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and meteorological services indicate Sao Paulo city highs near 30–31°C on August 20, 2026, driven by a persistent high-pressure system sustaining above-average warmth during the southern winter heat wave. This setup supports the market’s tight clustering around 31–32°C outcomes. An approaching cold front from the south, noted in regional guidance, introduces modest uncertainty by potentially enhancing cloud cover or bringing slightly cooler air to the metropolitan area by late in the day. Historical August maxima average near 23–25°C, so current conditions reflect a notable positive anomaly, though model consensus remains stable without major revisions in the past 48 hours. Updated NHC-style regional guidance and local agency runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,294วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and meteorological services indicate Sao Paulo city highs near 30–31°C on August 20, 2026, driven by a persistent high-pressure system sustaining above-average warmth during the southern winter heat wave. This setup supports the market’s tight clustering around 31–32°C outcomes. An approaching cold front from the south, noted in regional guidance, introduces modest uncertainty by potentially enhancing cloud cover or bringing slightly cooler air to the metropolitan area by late in the day. Historical August maxima average near 23–25°C, so current conditions reflect a notable positive anomaly, though model consensus remains stable without major revisions in the past 48 hours. Updated NHC-style regional guidance and local agency runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,294วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and meteorological services indicate Sao Paulo city highs near 30–31°C on August 20, 2026, driven by a persistent high-pressure system sustaining above-average warmth during the southern winter heat wave. This setup supports the market’s tight clustering around 31–32°C outcomes. An approaching cold front from the south, noted in regional guidance, introduces modest uncertainty by potentially enhancing cloud cover or bringing slightly cooler air to the metropolitan area by late in the day. Historical August maxima average near 23–25°C, so current conditions reflect a notable positive anomaly, though model consensus remains stable without major revisions in the past 48 hours. Updated NHC-style regional guidance and local agency runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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