Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently indicate a daily maximum near 27°C in Shanghai under persistent high-pressure ridging that favors subsidence warming and light southerly flow. Mid-May climatological normals hover around 25°C, yet stable atmospheric conditions and minimal cloud cover support this modestly above-average reading. The market-implied odds reflect trader consensus grounded in these model outputs and official monitoring from the Shanghai Meteorological Service. Resolution hinges on the precise observation recorded at Shanghai Pudong International Airport. Minor shifts in wind patterns or unexpected moisture could still nudge the peak by one degree before final verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$138,264 ปริมาณ
$138,264 ปริมาณ
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$138,264 ปริมาณ
$138,264 ปริมาณ
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDEnsemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently indicate a daily maximum near 27°C in Shanghai under persistent high-pressure ridging that favors subsidence warming and light southerly flow. Mid-May climatological normals hover around 25°C, yet stable atmospheric conditions and minimal cloud cover support this modestly above-average reading. The market-implied odds reflect trader consensus grounded in these model outputs and official monitoring from the Shanghai Meteorological Service. Resolution hinges on the precise observation recorded at Shanghai Pudong International Airport. Minor shifts in wind patterns or unexpected moisture could still nudge the peak by one degree before final verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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