With 26°C and 27°C each commanding 29.5% implied probability, trader consensus for Shanghai's highest temperature on May 18 clusters tightly around this range, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS. These outputs indicate daytime maximums near 26–27°C under moderate southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions that limit excessive heating, while boundary-layer moisture and subtle shifts in upper-level ridging introduce the main sources of uncertainty. Climatological baselines for mid-May in Shanghai show average highs around 25°C, underscoring why current guidance sits slightly above normal yet remains sensitive to small forecast adjustments expected in the next 24–48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 18?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 18?
27°C 30%
26°C 30%
28°C 23%
29°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
30%
27°C
30%
28°C
23%
29°C
12%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 30%
26°C 30%
28°C 23%
29°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
$95 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$65 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$40 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$16 ปริมาณ
6%
25°C
$138 ปริมาณ
6%
26°C
$89 ปริมาณ
30%
27°C
$40 ปริมาณ
30%
28°C
$36 ปริมาณ
23%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
30°C
$13 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C or higher
$34 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With 26°C and 27°C each commanding 29.5% implied probability, trader consensus for Shanghai's highest temperature on May 18 clusters tightly around this range, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS. These outputs indicate daytime maximums near 26–27°C under moderate southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions that limit excessive heating, while boundary-layer moisture and subtle shifts in upper-level ridging introduce the main sources of uncertainty. Climatological baselines for mid-May in Shanghai show average highs around 25°C, underscoring why current guidance sits slightly above normal yet remains sensitive to small forecast adjustments expected in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$529วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With 26°C and 27°C each commanding 29.5% implied probability, trader consensus for Shanghai's highest temperature on May 18 clusters tightly around this range, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS. These outputs indicate daytime maximums near 26–27°C under moderate southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions that limit excessive heating, while boundary-layer moisture and subtle shifts in upper-level ridging introduce the main sources of uncertainty. Climatological baselines for mid-May in Shanghai show average highs around 25°C, underscoring why current guidance sits slightly above normal yet remains sensitive to small forecast adjustments expected in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$529วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDWith 26°C and 27°C each commanding 29.5% implied probability, trader consensus for Shanghai's highest temperature on May 18 clusters tightly around this range, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS. These outputs indicate daytime maximums near 26–27°C under moderate southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions that limit excessive heating, while boundary-layer moisture and subtle shifts in upper-level ridging introduce the main sources of uncertainty. Climatological baselines for mid-May in Shanghai show average highs around 25°C, underscoring why current guidance sits slightly above normal yet remains sensitive to small forecast adjustments expected in the next 24–48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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