Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate Shanghai will reach a daytime peak of 26–28°C on May 18 under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light easterly winds and relative humidity near 60–70% moderating surface heating. This consensus drives the market’s highest implied probabilities toward 27°C at 37.5%, followed closely by 26°C and 28°C, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing limited warm-air advection and typical mid-May climatology for the region. No major frontal systems or significant changes appear in the next 24–48 hours, keeping resolution criteria tightly focused on official station maxima.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 18?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 18?
27°C 37%
26°C 27%
28°C 25%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
$29,728 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$29,728 ปริมาณ
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
27%
27°C
37%
28°C
25%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 37%
26°C 27%
28°C 25%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
$29,728 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$29,728 ปริมาณ
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
$869 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$1,052 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$3,788 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$4,216 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$3,735 ปริมาณ
5%
26°C
$3,459 ปริมาณ
27%
27°C
$2,166 ปริมาณ
37%
28°C
$1,889 ปริมาณ
25%
29°C
$2,857 ปริมาณ
9%
30°C
$2,623 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C or higher
$3,076 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate Shanghai will reach a daytime peak of 26–28°C on May 18 under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light easterly winds and relative humidity near 60–70% moderating surface heating. This consensus drives the market’s highest implied probabilities toward 27°C at 37.5%, followed closely by 26°C and 28°C, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing limited warm-air advection and typical mid-May climatology for the region. No major frontal systems or significant changes appear in the next 24–48 hours, keeping resolution criteria tightly focused on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,728วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate Shanghai will reach a daytime peak of 26–28°C on May 18 under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light easterly winds and relative humidity near 60–70% moderating surface heating. This consensus drives the market’s highest implied probabilities toward 27°C at 37.5%, followed closely by 26°C and 28°C, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing limited warm-air advection and typical mid-May climatology for the region. No major frontal systems or significant changes appear in the next 24–48 hours, keeping resolution criteria tightly focused on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,728วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDCurrent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate Shanghai will reach a daytime peak of 26–28°C on May 18 under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light easterly winds and relative humidity near 60–70% moderating surface heating. This consensus drives the market’s highest implied probabilities toward 27°C at 37.5%, followed closely by 26°C and 28°C, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing limited warm-air advection and typical mid-May climatology for the region. No major frontal systems or significant changes appear in the next 24–48 hours, keeping resolution criteria tightly focused on official station maxima.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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