Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources such as AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate daytime maxima of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 17 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of high pressure, abundant sunshine, and moderating sea breezes from the west. These values align closely with the long-term climatological average of roughly 30–32°C for the coastal plain and reflect narrow model consensus without signs of heatwave intensification or subtropical air intrusions. Trader positioning, with 32°C at 51.5% implied probability and 31°C at 38.5%, mirrors this tight forecast envelope, while the modest 9.5% on 33°C accounts for residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds that could produce minor upward revisions before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 17?
32°C 49%
31°C 41%
33°C 9%
29°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 17, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
41%
32°C
49%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 49%
31°C 41%
33°C 9%
29°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 17, 2026
26°C or below
$110 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$349 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$20 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$20 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$185 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$343 ปริมาณ
41%
32°C
$808 ปริมาณ
49%
33°C
$503 ปริมาณ
9%
34°C
$20 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C
$43 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C or higher
$16 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources such as AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate daytime maxima of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 17 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of high pressure, abundant sunshine, and moderating sea breezes from the west. These values align closely with the long-term climatological average of roughly 30–32°C for the coastal plain and reflect narrow model consensus without signs of heatwave intensification or subtropical air intrusions. Trader positioning, with 32°C at 51.5% implied probability and 31°C at 38.5%, mirrors this tight forecast envelope, while the modest 9.5% on 33°C accounts for residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds that could produce minor upward revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,418วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources such as AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate daytime maxima of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 17 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of high pressure, abundant sunshine, and moderating sea breezes from the west. These values align closely with the long-term climatological average of roughly 30–32°C for the coastal plain and reflect narrow model consensus without signs of heatwave intensification or subtropical air intrusions. Trader positioning, with 32°C at 51.5% implied probability and 31°C at 38.5%, mirrors this tight forecast envelope, while the modest 9.5% on 33°C accounts for residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds that could produce minor upward revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,418วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources such as AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate daytime maxima of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 17 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of high pressure, abundant sunshine, and moderating sea breezes from the west. These values align closely with the long-term climatological average of roughly 30–32°C for the coastal plain and reflect narrow model consensus without signs of heatwave intensification or subtropical air intrusions. Trader positioning, with 32°C at 51.5% implied probability and 31°C at 38.5%, mirrors this tight forecast envelope, while the modest 9.5% on 33°C accounts for residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds that could produce minor upward revisions before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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