Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Israeli Meteorological Service indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C in Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and light northerly flow off the Mediterranean Sea that limits cloud cover and allows strong solar heating. Ensemble spreads among ECMWF and GFS runs show modest uncertainty, with 30–31°C outcomes favored because sea-surface temperatures around 22°C moderate extreme warming while minimal wind shear supports efficient boundary-layer mixing. Traders price the narrow gap between 30°C and 32°C or higher because small shifts in afternoon cloud development or a slight backing of the wind could add or subtract 1–2°C by peak heating time around 1400 local.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18?
30°C 39%
31°C 32.3%
32°C or higher 18.0%
29°C 13%
ใหม่
$11,000 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,000 ปริมาณ
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
13%
30°C
39%
31°C
32%
32°C or higher
18%
30°C 39%
31°C 32.3%
32°C or higher 18.0%
29°C 13%
ใหม่
$11,000 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,000 ปริมาณ
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
$983 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$580 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$596 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$560 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$557 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,063 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$1,134 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$1,421 ปริมาณ
13%
30°C
$1,446 ปริมาณ
39%
31°C
$1,980 ปริมาณ
32%
32°C or higher
$781 ปริมาณ
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Israeli Meteorological Service indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C in Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and light northerly flow off the Mediterranean Sea that limits cloud cover and allows strong solar heating. Ensemble spreads among ECMWF and GFS runs show modest uncertainty, with 30–31°C outcomes favored because sea-surface temperatures around 22°C moderate extreme warming while minimal wind shear supports efficient boundary-layer mixing. Traders price the narrow gap between 30°C and 32°C or higher because small shifts in afternoon cloud development or a slight backing of the wind could add or subtract 1–2°C by peak heating time around 1400 local.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,000วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Israeli Meteorological Service indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C in Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and light northerly flow off the Mediterranean Sea that limits cloud cover and allows strong solar heating. Ensemble spreads among ECMWF and GFS runs show modest uncertainty, with 30–31°C outcomes favored because sea-surface temperatures around 22°C moderate extreme warming while minimal wind shear supports efficient boundary-layer mixing. Traders price the narrow gap between 30°C and 32°C or higher because small shifts in afternoon cloud development or a slight backing of the wind could add or subtract 1–2°C by peak heating time around 1400 local.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,000วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Israeli Meteorological Service indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C in Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and light northerly flow off the Mediterranean Sea that limits cloud cover and allows strong solar heating. Ensemble spreads among ECMWF and GFS runs show modest uncertainty, with 30–31°C outcomes favored because sea-surface temperatures around 22°C moderate extreme warming while minimal wind shear supports efficient boundary-layer mixing. Traders price the narrow gap between 30°C and 32°C or higher because small shifts in afternoon cloud development or a slight backing of the wind could add or subtract 1–2°C by peak heating time around 1400 local.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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