Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s official maximum temperature at the Otemachi station near 28 °C on May 17, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection, ample afternoon solar heating, and mostly clear skies across the Kanto Plain. Successive operational model runs have converged on this narrow range with high short-range confidence under stable synoptic conditions, producing the market’s overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability for exactly 28 °C. Historical mid-May climatology shows daily highs typically between 22 °C and 25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest but well-supported warm anomaly. The primary risks to this outcome remain an unexpected late forecast shift or minor station-specific measurement variation at resolution time.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
28°C 99.9%
27°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$87,176 ปริมาณ
$87,176 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.9%
27°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$87,176 ปริมาณ
$87,176 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
$3,024 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$1,893 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$819 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$5,290 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$8,445 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$7,219 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$9,841 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$10,583 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$19,720 ปริมาณ
100%
29°C
$10,530 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$9,833 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s official maximum temperature at the Otemachi station near 28 °C on May 17, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection, ample afternoon solar heating, and mostly clear skies across the Kanto Plain. Successive operational model runs have converged on this narrow range with high short-range confidence under stable synoptic conditions, producing the market’s overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability for exactly 28 °C. Historical mid-May climatology shows daily highs typically between 22 °C and 25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest but well-supported warm anomaly. The primary risks to this outcome remain an unexpected late forecast shift or minor station-specific measurement variation at resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$87,176วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s official maximum temperature at the Otemachi station near 28 °C on May 17, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection, ample afternoon solar heating, and mostly clear skies across the Kanto Plain. Successive operational model runs have converged on this narrow range with high short-range confidence under stable synoptic conditions, producing the market’s overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability for exactly 28 °C. Historical mid-May climatology shows daily highs typically between 22 °C and 25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest but well-supported warm anomaly. The primary risks to this outcome remain an unexpected late forecast shift or minor station-specific measurement variation at resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$87,176วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s official maximum temperature at the Otemachi station near 28 °C on May 17, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection, ample afternoon solar heating, and mostly clear skies across the Kanto Plain. Successive operational model runs have converged on this narrow range with high short-range confidence under stable synoptic conditions, producing the market’s overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability for exactly 28 °C. Historical mid-May climatology shows daily highs typically between 22 °C and 25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest but well-supported warm anomaly. The primary risks to this outcome remain an unexpected late forecast shift or minor station-specific measurement variation at resolution time.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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