Recent forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources indicate persistent light rain, high humidity near 90%, and extensive cloud cover over Chongqing, which are suppressing overnight radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 20–22°C for September 17. These conditions align with the market’s emphasis on outcomes clustered around 19–22°C, while the elevated probability for 25°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in model runs regarding any brief clearing that could allow slightly warmer readings. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical lows near 22°C, providing context for trader positioning ahead of final observational data from local stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 17?
25°C or higher 84%
19°C 44%
15°C or below 43%
21°C 40%
15°C or below
43%
16°C
39%
17°C
21%
18°C
12%
19°C
25%
20°C
23%
21°C
40%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
14%
25°C or higher
84%
25°C or higher 84%
19°C 44%
15°C or below 43%
21°C 40%
15°C or below
43%
16°C
39%
17°C
21%
18°C
12%
19°C
25%
20°C
23%
21°C
40%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
14%
25°C or higher
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources indicate persistent light rain, high humidity near 90%, and extensive cloud cover over Chongqing, which are suppressing overnight radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 20–22°C for September 17. These conditions align with the market’s emphasis on outcomes clustered around 19–22°C, while the elevated probability for 25°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in model runs regarding any brief clearing that could allow slightly warmer readings. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical lows near 22°C, providing context for trader positioning ahead of final observational data from local stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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