Recent forecasts from sources including GFS and ECMWF models project Chongqing's minimum temperature on September 3 near 22–26°C, reflecting persistent warm, dry conditions with limited nocturnal cooling under mostly clear skies and light northeast winds. Historical early-September averages place typical lows at 21–23°C, though urban heat retention and variable humidity can push readings higher. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21°C and 27°C highlights genuine model spread and sensitivity to small changes in cloud cover or wind patterns ahead of the 48-hour window. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and local observations on September 2 will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 3?
18°C or below 89%
21°C 45%
27°C 43.8%
24°C 40%
18°C or below
89%
19°C
26%
20°C
24%
21°C
45%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
40%
25°C
25%
26°C
25%
27°C
44%
28°C or higher
1%
18°C or below 89%
21°C 45%
27°C 43.8%
24°C 40%
18°C or below
89%
19°C
26%
20°C
24%
21°C
45%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
40%
25°C
25%
26°C
25%
27°C
44%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including GFS and ECMWF models project Chongqing's minimum temperature on September 3 near 22–26°C, reflecting persistent warm, dry conditions with limited nocturnal cooling under mostly clear skies and light northeast winds. Historical early-September averages place typical lows at 21–23°C, though urban heat retention and variable humidity can push readings higher. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21°C and 27°C highlights genuine model spread and sensitivity to small changes in cloud cover or wind patterns ahead of the 48-hour window. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and local observations on September 2 will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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