**Forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, Yr, and regional Chinese meteorological outlooks indicate a minimum temperature near 21–24°C (roughly 70–75°F) for Chongqing on September 2, 2026, under mostly clear to sunny conditions with light northeast winds.** This aligns with the market's leading outcome of 21°C at 56.5% implied probability, as early-September climatology shows gradual nocturnal cooling from peak summer warmth while daytime highs remain elevated (33–35°C). Chongqing's humid subtropical regime features high humidity and urban heat-island effects that limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows from dropping sharply absent a strong cold front or widespread cloud cover. Current short-range guidance shows no significant synoptic changes or precipitation expected through September 2, supporting stable minimums in the low-20s°C range. Historical September averages place early-month lows near 22–24°C, with recent days recording similar values (e.g., 22–25°C), reinforcing trader consensus around 20–24°C while assigning low odds to extremes below 18°C or above 26°C. Updated model runs or any unexpected cloud increases could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 2?
23°C 88%
18°C 87%
19°C 87%
20°C 87%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
13%
18°C
87%
19°C
87%
20°C
87%
21°C
57%
22°C
87%
23°C
88%
24°C
87%
25°C
87%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
12%
23°C 88%
18°C 87%
19°C 87%
20°C 87%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
$63 ปริมาณ
13%
18°C
$26 ปริมาณ
87%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
87%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
87%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
57%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
87%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
88%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
87%
25°C
$5 ปริมาณ
87%
26°C
$5 ปริมาณ
7%
27°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, Yr, and regional Chinese meteorological outlooks indicate a minimum temperature near 21–24°C (roughly 70–75°F) for Chongqing on September 2, 2026, under mostly clear to sunny conditions with light northeast winds.** This aligns with the market's leading outcome of 21°C at 56.5% implied probability, as early-September climatology shows gradual nocturnal cooling from peak summer warmth while daytime highs remain elevated (33–35°C).
Chongqing's humid subtropical regime features high humidity and urban heat-island effects that limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows from dropping sharply absent a strong cold front or widespread cloud cover. Current short-range guidance shows no significant synoptic changes or precipitation expected through September 2, supporting stable minimums in the low-20s°C range. Historical September averages place early-month lows near 22–24°C, with recent days recording similar values (e.g., 22–25°C), reinforcing trader consensus around 20–24°C while assigning low odds to extremes below 18°C or above 26°C. Updated model runs or any unexpected cloud increases could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$104วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, Yr, and regional Chinese meteorological outlooks indicate a minimum temperature near 21–24°C (roughly 70–75°F) for Chongqing on September 2, 2026, under mostly clear to sunny conditions with light northeast winds.** This aligns with the market's leading outcome of 21°C at 56.5% implied probability, as early-September climatology shows gradual nocturnal cooling from peak summer warmth while daytime highs remain elevated (33–35°C).
Chongqing's humid subtropical regime features high humidity and urban heat-island effects that limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows from dropping sharply absent a strong cold front or widespread cloud cover. Current short-range guidance shows no significant synoptic changes or precipitation expected through September 2, supporting stable minimums in the low-20s°C range. Historical September averages place early-month lows near 22–24°C, with recent days recording similar values (e.g., 22–25°C), reinforcing trader consensus around 20–24°C while assigning low odds to extremes below 18°C or above 26°C. Updated model runs or any unexpected cloud increases could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$104วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, Yr, and regional Chinese meteorological outlooks indicate a minimum temperature near 21–24°C (roughly 70–75°F) for Chongqing on September 2, 2026, under mostly clear to sunny conditions with light northeast winds.** This aligns with the market's leading outcome of 21°C at 56.5% implied probability, as early-September climatology shows gradual nocturnal cooling from peak summer warmth while daytime highs remain elevated (33–35°C). Chongqing's humid subtropical regime features high humidity and urban heat-island effects that limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows from dropping sharply absent a strong cold front or widespread cloud cover. Current short-range guidance shows no significant synoptic changes or precipitation expected through September 2, supporting stable minimums in the low-20s°C range. Historical September averages place early-month lows near 22–24°C, with recent days recording similar values (e.g., 22–25°C), reinforcing trader consensus around 20–24°C while assigning low odds to extremes below 18°C or above 26°C. Updated model runs or any unexpected cloud increases could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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