Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on September 2, driven by northeast monsoon winds and the passage of Tropical Cyclone Sadul across the northern South China Sea, which is enhancing cloud cover, showers, and localized cooling without a strong cold surge. Current observations on September 1 hover around 27–28°C, with model guidance showing overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity (70–95%) and persistent cloud. The market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (81.5% implied probability) versus 24°C (17.5%) reflects trader consensus that scattered rain and moderate winds will shave 1–2°C off the typical early-September baseline, while probabilities below 24°C remain negligible absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated HKO briefings and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will be key resolution signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?
25°C 84%
24°C 18%
23°C 1.4%
26°C <1%
ใหม่
$11,022 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,022 ปริมาณ
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
18%
25°C
84%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 84%
24°C 18%
23°C 1.4%
26°C <1%
ใหม่
$11,022 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,022 ปริมาณ
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
$299 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$487 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$1,326 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$710 ปริมาณ
18%
25°C
$1,473 ปริมาณ
84%
26°C
$2,963 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$2,816 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$234 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$189 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$201 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$324 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on September 2, driven by northeast monsoon winds and the passage of Tropical Cyclone Sadul across the northern South China Sea, which is enhancing cloud cover, showers, and localized cooling without a strong cold surge. Current observations on September 1 hover around 27–28°C, with model guidance showing overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity (70–95%) and persistent cloud. The market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (81.5% implied probability) versus 24°C (17.5%) reflects trader consensus that scattered rain and moderate winds will shave 1–2°C off the typical early-September baseline, while probabilities below 24°C remain negligible absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated HKO briefings and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will be key resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,022วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on September 2, driven by northeast monsoon winds and the passage of Tropical Cyclone Sadul across the northern South China Sea, which is enhancing cloud cover, showers, and localized cooling without a strong cold surge. Current observations on September 1 hover around 27–28°C, with model guidance showing overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity (70–95%) and persistent cloud. The market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (81.5% implied probability) versus 24°C (17.5%) reflects trader consensus that scattered rain and moderate winds will shave 1–2°C off the typical early-September baseline, while probabilities below 24°C remain negligible absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated HKO briefings and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will be key resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,022วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on September 2, driven by northeast monsoon winds and the passage of Tropical Cyclone Sadul across the northern South China Sea, which is enhancing cloud cover, showers, and localized cooling without a strong cold surge. Current observations on September 1 hover around 27–28°C, with model guidance showing overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity (70–95%) and persistent cloud. The market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (81.5% implied probability) versus 24°C (17.5%) reflects trader consensus that scattered rain and moderate winds will shave 1–2°C off the typical early-September baseline, while probabilities below 24°C remain negligible absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated HKO briefings and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will be key resolution signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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