Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 3 project a minimum of 25°C within a 25–30°C range, shaped by northwest winds of force 4–5 and lingering effects from Tropical Cyclone Saudel, which has enhanced cloud cover and scattered showers across the northern South China Sea. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight while preventing significant warming, aligning closely with climatological early-September minima near 24.7°C. Model consensus and the market’s 46.5% implied probability on 25°C reflect this balance, with nearby 24°C and 26°C outcomes capturing residual forecast uncertainty ahead of the next HKO update.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 3?
25°C 45%
26°C 20%
24°C 18%
30°C or higher 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
20°C or below
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
7%
24°C
18%
25°C
45%
26°C
20%
27°C
11%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
12%
25°C 45%
26°C 20%
24°C 18%
30°C or higher 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
20°C or below
$100 ปริมาณ
3%
21°C
$100 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$213 ปริมาณ
6%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
24°C
$6 ปริมาณ
18%
25°C
$613 ปริมาณ
45%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
27°C
$352 ปริมาณ
11%
28°C
$50 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C
$100 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C or higher
$100 ปริมาณ
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 3 project a minimum of 25°C within a 25–30°C range, shaped by northwest winds of force 4–5 and lingering effects from Tropical Cyclone Saudel, which has enhanced cloud cover and scattered showers across the northern South China Sea. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight while preventing significant warming, aligning closely with climatological early-September minima near 24.7°C. Model consensus and the market’s 46.5% implied probability on 25°C reflect this balance, with nearby 24°C and 26°C outcomes capturing residual forecast uncertainty ahead of the next HKO update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,634วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 3 project a minimum of 25°C within a 25–30°C range, shaped by northwest winds of force 4–5 and lingering effects from Tropical Cyclone Saudel, which has enhanced cloud cover and scattered showers across the northern South China Sea. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight while preventing significant warming, aligning closely with climatological early-September minima near 24.7°C. Model consensus and the market’s 46.5% implied probability on 25°C reflect this balance, with nearby 24°C and 26°C outcomes capturing residual forecast uncertainty ahead of the next HKO update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,634วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 3 project a minimum of 25°C within a 25–30°C range, shaped by northwest winds of force 4–5 and lingering effects from Tropical Cyclone Saudel, which has enhanced cloud cover and scattered showers across the northern South China Sea. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight while preventing significant warming, aligning closely with climatological early-September minima near 24.7°C. Model consensus and the market’s 46.5% implied probability on 25°C reflect this balance, with nearby 24°C and 26°C outcomes capturing residual forecast uncertainty ahead of the next HKO update.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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