Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) activity and scattered thunderstorms over Metro Manila are the main drivers behind closely matched trader odds for Manila’s September 14 low temperature. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity from monsoon rains limit nighttime radiative cooling, typically keeping lows near 25–26 °C, while variable rainfall intensity and wind patterns can shift the minimum by a few degrees either way. Official forecasts show overnight temperatures around 24–27 °C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 25 °C. This uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation amounts explains the near-even implied probabilities across the 20 °C–or-below, 25 °C, and 30 °C–or-higher brackets, as traders weigh model consensus on convective activity through the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Manila on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 14?
20°C or below 67%
30°C or higher 67%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
67%
21°C
13%
22°C
17%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
31%
26°C
30%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
67%
20°C or below 67%
30°C or higher 67%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
67%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
24°C
$131 ปริมาณ
22%
25°C
$5 ปริมาณ
31%
26°C
$5 ปริมาณ
30%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
30°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) activity and scattered thunderstorms over Metro Manila are the main drivers behind closely matched trader odds for Manila’s September 14 low temperature. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity from monsoon rains limit nighttime radiative cooling, typically keeping lows near 25–26 °C, while variable rainfall intensity and wind patterns can shift the minimum by a few degrees either way. Official forecasts show overnight temperatures around 24–27 °C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 25 °C. This uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation amounts explains the near-even implied probabilities across the 20 °C–or-below, 25 °C, and 30 °C–or-higher brackets, as traders weigh model consensus on convective activity through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$141วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) activity and scattered thunderstorms over Metro Manila are the main drivers behind closely matched trader odds for Manila’s September 14 low temperature. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity from monsoon rains limit nighttime radiative cooling, typically keeping lows near 25–26 °C, while variable rainfall intensity and wind patterns can shift the minimum by a few degrees either way. Official forecasts show overnight temperatures around 24–27 °C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 25 °C. This uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation amounts explains the near-even implied probabilities across the 20 °C–or-below, 25 °C, and 30 °C–or-higher brackets, as traders weigh model consensus on convective activity through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$141วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) activity and scattered thunderstorms over Metro Manila are the main drivers behind closely matched trader odds for Manila’s September 14 low temperature. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity from monsoon rains limit nighttime radiative cooling, typically keeping lows near 25–26 °C, while variable rainfall intensity and wind patterns can shift the minimum by a few degrees either way. Official forecasts show overnight temperatures around 24–27 °C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 25 °C. This uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation amounts explains the near-even implied probabilities across the 20 °C–or-below, 25 °C, and 30 °C–or-higher brackets, as traders weigh model consensus on convective activity through the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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