Recent forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and global models such as ECMWF and GFS point to a mild night ahead for Moscow on September 10, with overnight lows most likely between 11–14 °C under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies. This baseline supports the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those specific temperatures. However, the near-even odds assigned to 4 °C or below versus 14 °C or higher reflect substantial ensemble spread in short-range guidance, driven by uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the potential for stronger radiative cooling or a late cold-air surge. Historical September minima average near 9 °C, so any deviation in steering patterns or clear-sky duration could quickly shift the realized low and move trader positions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Moscow on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 10?
4°C or below 78%
14°C or higher 72%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
4°C or below
78%
5°C
40%
6°C
40%
7°C
22%
8°C
22%
9°C
24%
10°C
23%
11°C
29%
12°C
26%
13°C
22%
14°C or higher
72%
4°C or below 78%
14°C or higher 72%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
4°C or below
$30 ปริมาณ
78%
5°C
$25 ปริมาณ
40%
6°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
7°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
14°C or higher
$25 ปริมาณ
72%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and global models such as ECMWF and GFS point to a mild night ahead for Moscow on September 10, with overnight lows most likely between 11–14 °C under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies. This baseline supports the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those specific temperatures. However, the near-even odds assigned to 4 °C or below versus 14 °C or higher reflect substantial ensemble spread in short-range guidance, driven by uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the potential for stronger radiative cooling or a late cold-air surge. Historical September minima average near 9 °C, so any deviation in steering patterns or clear-sky duration could quickly shift the realized low and move trader positions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$80วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and global models such as ECMWF and GFS point to a mild night ahead for Moscow on September 10, with overnight lows most likely between 11–14 °C under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies. This baseline supports the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those specific temperatures. However, the near-even odds assigned to 4 °C or below versus 14 °C or higher reflect substantial ensemble spread in short-range guidance, driven by uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the potential for stronger radiative cooling or a late cold-air surge. Historical September minima average near 9 °C, so any deviation in steering patterns or clear-sky duration could quickly shift the realized low and move trader positions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$80วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and global models such as ECMWF and GFS point to a mild night ahead for Moscow on September 10, with overnight lows most likely between 11–14 °C under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies. This baseline supports the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those specific temperatures. However, the near-even odds assigned to 4 °C or below versus 14 °C or higher reflect substantial ensemble spread in short-range guidance, driven by uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the potential for stronger radiative cooling or a late cold-air surge. Historical September minima average near 9 °C, so any deviation in steering patterns or clear-sky duration could quickly shift the realized low and move trader positions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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