Recent forecasts from GFS and official Russian meteorological sources point to a minimum near 9–11°C overnight into September 17, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies promoting radiational cooling under a southerly flow and surface pressure near 1015 hPa. Model consensus shows the overnight low settling around 10°C before daytime warming to 20–21°C, with limited cloud cover and light winds preventing stronger mixing. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in Moscow while reflecting slightly above-average conditions from persistent high pressure. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of 9°C versus lower outcomes against potential revisions in evening observations or minor model shifts in boundary-layer temperature. Further surface reports through the day will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Moscow on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 17?
8°C 20%
5°C 2%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
5%
5°C
2%
6°C
-
7°C
-
8°C
20%
9°C
54%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C or higher
<1%
8°C 20%
5°C 2%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
3°C or below
$25 ปริมาณ
<1%
4°C
$25 ปริมาณ
5%
5°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
6°C
$43 ปริมาณ
-
7°C
$35 ปริมาณ
-
8°C
$145 ปริมาณ
20%
9°C
$64 ปริมาณ
54%
10°C
$280 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C or higher
$37 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and official Russian meteorological sources point to a minimum near 9–11°C overnight into September 17, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies promoting radiational cooling under a southerly flow and surface pressure near 1015 hPa. Model consensus shows the overnight low settling around 10°C before daytime warming to 20–21°C, with limited cloud cover and light winds preventing stronger mixing. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in Moscow while reflecting slightly above-average conditions from persistent high pressure. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of 9°C versus lower outcomes against potential revisions in evening observations or minor model shifts in boundary-layer temperature. Further surface reports through the day will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$684วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and official Russian meteorological sources point to a minimum near 9–11°C overnight into September 17, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies promoting radiational cooling under a southerly flow and surface pressure near 1015 hPa. Model consensus shows the overnight low settling around 10°C before daytime warming to 20–21°C, with limited cloud cover and light winds preventing stronger mixing. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in Moscow while reflecting slightly above-average conditions from persistent high pressure. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of 9°C versus lower outcomes against potential revisions in evening observations or minor model shifts in boundary-layer temperature. Further surface reports through the day will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$684วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from GFS and official Russian meteorological sources point to a minimum near 9–11°C overnight into September 17, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies promoting radiational cooling under a southerly flow and surface pressure near 1015 hPa. Model consensus shows the overnight low settling around 10°C before daytime warming to 20–21°C, with limited cloud cover and light winds preventing stronger mixing. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in Moscow while reflecting slightly above-average conditions from persistent high pressure. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of 9°C versus lower outcomes against potential revisions in evening observations or minor model shifts in boundary-layer temperature. Further surface reports through the day will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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