Recent forecasts from models such as GFS indicate Munich's overnight low on September 3 will likely range from 13–15 °C under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly flow, and surface high pressure that promotes clear-sky radiative cooling after sunset. Trader sentiment clusters around 13–14 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest yet sensitive to small changes in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical September 3 averages near 12 °C provide context, but the current pattern lacks the stronger cooling seen in past outbreaks, keeping probabilities for 11 °C or below below 30 %. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Munich on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 3?
14°C 32%
11°C or below 28%
13°C 27%
12°C 25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
11°C or below
28%
12°C
25%
13°C
27%
14°C
32%
15°C
25%
16°C
9%
17°C
3%
18°C
15%
19°C
7%
20°C
7%
21°C or higher
16%
14°C 32%
11°C or below 28%
13°C 27%
12°C 25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
11°C or below
$26 ปริมาณ
28%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
16°C
$30 ปริมาณ
9%
17°C
$120 ปริมาณ
3%
18°C
$5 ปริมาณ
15%
19°C
$5 ปริมาณ
7%
20°C
$5 ปริมาณ
7%
21°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as GFS indicate Munich's overnight low on September 3 will likely range from 13–15 °C under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly flow, and surface high pressure that promotes clear-sky radiative cooling after sunset. Trader sentiment clusters around 13–14 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest yet sensitive to small changes in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical September 3 averages near 12 °C provide context, but the current pattern lacks the stronger cooling seen in past outbreaks, keeping probabilities for 11 °C or below below 30 %. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$196วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as GFS indicate Munich's overnight low on September 3 will likely range from 13–15 °C under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly flow, and surface high pressure that promotes clear-sky radiative cooling after sunset. Trader sentiment clusters around 13–14 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest yet sensitive to small changes in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical September 3 averages near 12 °C provide context, but the current pattern lacks the stronger cooling seen in past outbreaks, keeping probabilities for 11 °C or below below 30 %. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$196วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as GFS indicate Munich's overnight low on September 3 will likely range from 13–15 °C under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly flow, and surface high pressure that promotes clear-sky radiative cooling after sunset. Trader sentiment clusters around 13–14 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest yet sensitive to small changes in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical September 3 averages near 12 °C provide context, but the current pattern lacks the stronger cooling seen in past outbreaks, keeping probabilities for 11 °C or below below 30 %. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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