Current short-range forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF guidance valid as of 30 August 2026, indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on 1 September near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This aligns with the climatological average low of 12.3 °C for the date and reflects typical early-autumn radiative cooling under high pressure without strong cold-air advection. Ensemble spreads nevertheless retain non-negligible probability for values several degrees lower, supporting the elevated market-implied odds (41 %) on 9 °C or below. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, and upcoming 00 UTC and 12 UTC model runs on 31 August will provide the final updates before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Munich on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 1?
12°C 30%
13°C 27%
11°C 26%
14°C 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
9°C or below
7%
10°C
14%
11°C
26%
12°C
30%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
13%
16°C
2%
17°C
15%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
7%
12°C 30%
13°C 27%
11°C 26%
14°C 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
9°C or below
$93 ปริมาณ
7%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$5 ปริมาณ
15%
18°C
$10 ปริมาณ
8%
19°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF guidance valid as of 30 August 2026, indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on 1 September near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This aligns with the climatological average low of 12.3 °C for the date and reflects typical early-autumn radiative cooling under high pressure without strong cold-air advection. Ensemble spreads nevertheless retain non-negligible probability for values several degrees lower, supporting the elevated market-implied odds (41 %) on 9 °C or below. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, and upcoming 00 UTC and 12 UTC model runs on 31 August will provide the final updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$118วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF guidance valid as of 30 August 2026, indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on 1 September near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This aligns with the climatological average low of 12.3 °C for the date and reflects typical early-autumn radiative cooling under high pressure without strong cold-air advection. Ensemble spreads nevertheless retain non-negligible probability for values several degrees lower, supporting the elevated market-implied odds (41 %) on 9 °C or below. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, and upcoming 00 UTC and 12 UTC model runs on 31 August will provide the final updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$118วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF guidance valid as of 30 August 2026, indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on 1 September near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This aligns with the climatological average low of 12.3 °C for the date and reflects typical early-autumn radiative cooling under high pressure without strong cold-air advection. Ensemble spreads nevertheless retain non-negligible probability for values several degrees lower, supporting the elevated market-implied odds (41 %) on 9 °C or below. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, and upcoming 00 UTC and 12 UTC model runs on 31 August will provide the final updates before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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