Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and moderate westerly winds are keeping overnight cooling limited in Munich, with multiple forecast models converging on a minimum between 11–13 °C. High humidity and a steady flow of maritime air from the Atlantic have prevented stronger radiational cooling that would otherwise push readings toward the lower end of the historical September range. Official guidance from European models shows the coldest hour likely occurring just before dawn, with slight differences in timing of showers and wind gusts creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C. Updated model runs later today will refine whether the low settles near the average 11 °C baseline or edges higher under lingering overcast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Munich on September 9?
13°C 49%
12°C 48%
14°C 44%
11°C 28%
$1,151 ปริมาณ
$1,151 ปริมาณ
8°C or below
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
8%
11°C
28%
12°C
48%
13°C
49%
14°C
44%
15°C
5%
16°C
5%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 49%
12°C 48%
14°C 44%
11°C 28%
$1,151 ปริมาณ
$1,151 ปริมาณ
8°C or below
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
8%
11°C
28%
12°C
48%
13°C
49%
14°C
44%
15°C
5%
16°C
5%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and moderate westerly winds are keeping overnight cooling limited in Munich, with multiple forecast models converging on a minimum between 11–13 °C. High humidity and a steady flow of maritime air from the Atlantic have prevented stronger radiational cooling that would otherwise push readings toward the lower end of the historical September range. Official guidance from European models shows the coldest hour likely occurring just before dawn, with slight differences in timing of showers and wind gusts creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C. Updated model runs later today will refine whether the low settles near the average 11 °C baseline or edges higher under lingering overcast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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