Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model consensus supports a minimum temperature near 69°F in New York City on August 15, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for the 68-69°F outcome. This reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge, with overnight lows moderated by the urban heat island effect and dew points in the mid-60s. Historical Central Park normals for the date center around 69°F, and current forecasts indicate limited variability absent any frontal passage or marine influence. A realistic challenge would require unforecasted cold-air advection or notable model error in the final hours before the daily minimum is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on August 15?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 15?
68-69°F 99.4%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$24,385 ปริมาณ
$24,385 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
99%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 99.4%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$24,385 ปริมาณ
$24,385 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
57°F or below
$336 ปริมาณ
<1%
58-59°F
$317 ปริมาณ
<1%
60-61°F
$1,095 ปริมาณ
1%
62-63°F
$927 ปริมาณ
1%
64-65°F
$818 ปริมาณ
<1%
66-67°F
$699 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$2,545 ปริมาณ
99%
70-71°F
$12,936 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$2,410 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$1,410 ปริมาณ
<1%
76°F or higher
$891 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model consensus supports a minimum temperature near 69°F in New York City on August 15, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for the 68-69°F outcome. This reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge, with overnight lows moderated by the urban heat island effect and dew points in the mid-60s. Historical Central Park normals for the date center around 69°F, and current forecasts indicate limited variability absent any frontal passage or marine influence. A realistic challenge would require unforecasted cold-air advection or notable model error in the final hours before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,385วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model consensus supports a minimum temperature near 69°F in New York City on August 15, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for the 68-69°F outcome. This reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge, with overnight lows moderated by the urban heat island effect and dew points in the mid-60s. Historical Central Park normals for the date center around 69°F, and current forecasts indicate limited variability absent any frontal passage or marine influence. A realistic challenge would require unforecasted cold-air advection or notable model error in the final hours before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,385วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model consensus supports a minimum temperature near 69°F in New York City on August 15, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for the 68-69°F outcome. This reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge, with overnight lows moderated by the urban heat island effect and dew points in the mid-60s. Historical Central Park normals for the date center around 69°F, and current forecasts indicate limited variability absent any frontal passage or marine influence. A realistic challenge would require unforecasted cold-air advection or notable model error in the final hours before the daily minimum is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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