Official meteorological data from Météo-France confirm a minimum temperature of 6°C in Paris on May 16, driven by clear overnight skies, light northerly winds, and persistent high pressure that suppressed radiative cooling and prevented deeper temperature drops. Ensemble forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, reflecting typical late-spring climatology for the region where nocturnal lows rarely fall below 5°C under stable anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on the 6°C outcome incorporates these verified measurements, with only remote scenarios such as post-event data revisions or localized microclimate anomalies capable of altering resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 16?
6°C 100.0%
0°C or below <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$17,421 ปริมาณ
$17,421 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
0°C or below
No
1°C
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
Yes
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C or higher
No
6°C 100.0%
0°C or below <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$17,421 ปริมาณ
$17,421 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
0°C or below
$265 ปริมาณ
No
1°C
$475 ปริมาณ
No
2°C
$782 ปริมาณ
No
3°C
$864 ปริมาณ
No
4°C
$817 ปริมาณ
No
5°C
$1,871 ปริมาณ
No
6°C
$1,407 ปริมาณ
Yes
7°C
$3,325 ปริมาณ
No
8°C
$3,306 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$1,023 ปริมาณ
No
10°C or higher
$3,286 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological data from Météo-France confirm a minimum temperature of 6°C in Paris on May 16, driven by clear overnight skies, light northerly winds, and persistent high pressure that suppressed radiative cooling and prevented deeper temperature drops. Ensemble forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, reflecting typical late-spring climatology for the region where nocturnal lows rarely fall below 5°C under stable anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on the 6°C outcome incorporates these verified measurements, with only remote scenarios such as post-event data revisions or localized microclimate anomalies capable of altering resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,421วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological data from Météo-France confirm a minimum temperature of 6°C in Paris on May 16, driven by clear overnight skies, light northerly winds, and persistent high pressure that suppressed radiative cooling and prevented deeper temperature drops. Ensemble forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, reflecting typical late-spring climatology for the region where nocturnal lows rarely fall below 5°C under stable anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on the 6°C outcome incorporates these verified measurements, with only remote scenarios such as post-event data revisions or localized microclimate anomalies capable of altering resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,421วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBOfficial meteorological data from Météo-France confirm a minimum temperature of 6°C in Paris on May 16, driven by clear overnight skies, light northerly winds, and persistent high pressure that suppressed radiative cooling and prevented deeper temperature drops. Ensemble forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, reflecting typical late-spring climatology for the region where nocturnal lows rarely fall below 5°C under stable anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on the 6°C outcome incorporates these verified measurements, with only remote scenarios such as post-event data revisions or localized microclimate anomalies capable of altering resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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