Current forecasts from regional models and official monitoring indicate Qingdao will see clear skies and light northerly winds on September 3, supporting overnight radiative cooling with expected lows near 20–21 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 45 % implied probability for 14 °C or below likely incorporates uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, potential for stronger nocturnal drainage flows off the Shandong hills, or revisions in global ensemble guidance that could lower minimums. Historical September climatology shows typical lows of 18–22 °C, so any downward shift in model consensus or unseasonal high pressure would increase the chance of colder readings, while stable conditions favor the 19–21 °C cluster holding near 25 % each. Updated runs from major agencies are due within 24 hours and could quickly adjust these odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 3?
14°C or below 90%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
14°C or below
90%
15°C
26%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
26%
20°C
2%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C or higher
47%
14°C or below 90%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
14°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
90%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
20°C
$4 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C
$5 ปริมาณ
49%
22°C
$5 ปริมาณ
49%
23°C
$5 ปริมาณ
49%
24°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models and official monitoring indicate Qingdao will see clear skies and light northerly winds on September 3, supporting overnight radiative cooling with expected lows near 20–21 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 45 % implied probability for 14 °C or below likely incorporates uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, potential for stronger nocturnal drainage flows off the Shandong hills, or revisions in global ensemble guidance that could lower minimums. Historical September climatology shows typical lows of 18–22 °C, so any downward shift in model consensus or unseasonal high pressure would increase the chance of colder readings, while stable conditions favor the 19–21 °C cluster holding near 25 % each. Updated runs from major agencies are due within 24 hours and could quickly adjust these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models and official monitoring indicate Qingdao will see clear skies and light northerly winds on September 3, supporting overnight radiative cooling with expected lows near 20–21 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 45 % implied probability for 14 °C or below likely incorporates uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, potential for stronger nocturnal drainage flows off the Shandong hills, or revisions in global ensemble guidance that could lower minimums. Historical September climatology shows typical lows of 18–22 °C, so any downward shift in model consensus or unseasonal high pressure would increase the chance of colder readings, while stable conditions favor the 19–21 °C cluster holding near 25 % each. Updated runs from major agencies are due within 24 hours and could quickly adjust these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional models and official monitoring indicate Qingdao will see clear skies and light northerly winds on September 3, supporting overnight radiative cooling with expected lows near 20–21 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 45 % implied probability for 14 °C or below likely incorporates uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, potential for stronger nocturnal drainage flows off the Shandong hills, or revisions in global ensemble guidance that could lower minimums. Historical September climatology shows typical lows of 18–22 °C, so any downward shift in model consensus or unseasonal high pressure would increase the chance of colder readings, while stable conditions favor the 19–21 °C cluster holding near 25 % each. Updated runs from major agencies are due within 24 hours and could quickly adjust these odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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