Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader consensus for the next Quebec premier at 64 percent, driven by the Parti Québécois’s sustained polling advantage ahead of the October 2026 general election. Recent leadership transitions have reshaped the field: Christine Fréchette secured the Coalition Avenir Québec leadership in April and assumed the premiership, yet the party remains mired in single digits while the Parti Québécois holds a narrow edge over the Liberals. Charles Milliard’s February acclamation as Liberal leader has consolidated that party’s position at roughly 28–32 percent support, but the Parti Québécois’s stronger trajectory among nationalist voters continues to anchor market pricing. Traders view Plamondon’s durable lead in provincial surveys as the primary factor elevating his implied probability well above rivals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNext Premier of Quebec
Next Premier of Quebec
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 66%
Charles Milliard 23%
Christine Fréchette 18.2%
Éric Duhaime 1.1%
$27,087 ปริมาณ
$27,087 ปริมาณ
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
64%
Charles Milliard
23%
Christine Fréchette
13%
Éric Duhaime
1%
Sol Zanetti
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
Bernard Drainville
<1%
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 66%
Charles Milliard 23%
Christine Fréchette 18.2%
Éric Duhaime 1.1%
$27,087 ปริมาณ
$27,087 ปริมาณ
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
64%
Charles Milliard
23%
Christine Fréchette
13%
Éric Duhaime
1%
Sol Zanetti
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
Bernard Drainville
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader consensus for the next Quebec premier at 64 percent, driven by the Parti Québécois’s sustained polling advantage ahead of the October 2026 general election. Recent leadership transitions have reshaped the field: Christine Fréchette secured the Coalition Avenir Québec leadership in April and assumed the premiership, yet the party remains mired in single digits while the Parti Québécois holds a narrow edge over the Liberals. Charles Milliard’s February acclamation as Liberal leader has consolidated that party’s position at roughly 28–32 percent support, but the Parti Québécois’s stronger trajectory among nationalist voters continues to anchor market pricing. Traders view Plamondon’s durable lead in provincial surveys as the primary factor elevating his implied probability well above rivals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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