Traders assign a 98% implied probability to no change in the People's Bank of China's key rates during May, reflecting the central bank's recent Q1 2026 monetary policy implementation report that reaffirmed a moderately accommodative stance without signaling near-term adjustments. Resilient economic growth data through early 2026, coupled with stable inflation trajectories and the need to assess external pressures such as Middle East tensions, have reduced the urgency for policy shifts from the current 3.0% one-year loan prime rate. The upcoming mid-May Loan Prime Rate fixing remains the primary near-term catalyst, while any abrupt deterioration in domestic demand or sharper global risk-off moves could prompt a reassessment of the rate path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPeople's Bank of China rate change in May?
People's Bank of China rate change in May?
No Change 98.2%
Decrease <1%
Increase <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 31, 2026
Increase
<1%
No Change
98%
Decrease
1%
No Change 98.2%
Decrease <1%
Increase <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 31, 2026
Increase
$2,006 ปริมาณ
<1%
No Change
$2,024 ปริมาณ
98%
Decrease
$1,711 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.Traders assign a 98% implied probability to no change in the People's Bank of China's key rates during May, reflecting the central bank's recent Q1 2026 monetary policy implementation report that reaffirmed a moderately accommodative stance without signaling near-term adjustments. Resilient economic growth data through early 2026, coupled with stable inflation trajectories and the need to assess external pressures such as Middle East tensions, have reduced the urgency for policy shifts from the current 3.0% one-year loan prime rate. The upcoming mid-May Loan Prime Rate fixing remains the primary near-term catalyst, while any abrupt deterioration in domestic demand or sharper global risk-off moves could prompt a reassessment of the rate path.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,741วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.Traders assign a 98% implied probability to no change in the People's Bank of China's key rates during May, reflecting the central bank's recent Q1 2026 monetary policy implementation report that reaffirmed a moderately accommodative stance without signaling near-term adjustments. Resilient economic growth data through early 2026, coupled with stable inflation trajectories and the need to assess external pressures such as Middle East tensions, have reduced the urgency for policy shifts from the current 3.0% one-year loan prime rate. The upcoming mid-May Loan Prime Rate fixing remains the primary near-term catalyst, while any abrupt deterioration in domestic demand or sharper global risk-off moves could prompt a reassessment of the rate path.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,741วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 98% implied probability to no change in the People's Bank of China's key rates during May, reflecting the central bank's recent Q1 2026 monetary policy implementation report that reaffirmed a moderately accommodative stance without signaling near-term adjustments. Resilient economic growth data through early 2026, coupled with stable inflation trajectories and the need to assess external pressures such as Middle East tensions, have reduced the urgency for policy shifts from the current 3.0% one-year loan prime rate. The upcoming mid-May Loan Prime Rate fixing remains the primary near-term catalyst, while any abrupt deterioration in domestic demand or sharper global risk-off moves could prompt a reassessment of the rate path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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