Recent supply recovery in U.S. egg production, following reduced highly pathogenic avian influenza detections in early 2026, has anchored retail prices near current levels after sharp declines from 2025 peaks. April 2026 data showed the national average at $2.25 per dozen, up just 1.5% month-over-month yet down nearly 40% year-over-year, reflecting expanded laying flocks and normalized post-Easter demand. This trajectory positions the $2.00–$2.25 range as the dominant market-implied outcome at 64%, consistent with USDA projections for further moderation in 2026 amid stable wholesale benchmarks around $1.25. Lingering seasonal volatility and any late-month inventory adjustments represent the primary swing factors that could shift probabilities toward adjacent bands.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPrice of Dozen Eggs in May?
$2.00–$2.25 64%
$2.25–$2.50 28%
$1.75–$2.00 8%
$2.50–$2.75 2.2%
<$1.50
1%
$1.50–$1.75
1%
$1.75–$2.00
8%
$2.00–$2.25
64%
$2.25–$2.50
28%
$2.50–$2.75
2%
$2.75–$3.00
1%
$3.00–$3.25
1%
$3.25–$3.50
2%
≥$3.50
2%
$2.00–$2.25 64%
$2.25–$2.50 28%
$1.75–$2.00 8%
$2.50–$2.75 2.2%
<$1.50
1%
$1.50–$1.75
1%
$1.75–$2.00
8%
$2.00–$2.25
64%
$2.25–$2.50
28%
$2.50–$2.75
2%
$2.75–$3.00
1%
$3.00–$3.25
1%
$3.25–$3.50
2%
≥$3.50
2%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent supply recovery in U.S. egg production, following reduced highly pathogenic avian influenza detections in early 2026, has anchored retail prices near current levels after sharp declines from 2025 peaks. April 2026 data showed the national average at $2.25 per dozen, up just 1.5% month-over-month yet down nearly 40% year-over-year, reflecting expanded laying flocks and normalized post-Easter demand. This trajectory positions the $2.00–$2.25 range as the dominant market-implied outcome at 64%, consistent with USDA projections for further moderation in 2026 amid stable wholesale benchmarks around $1.25. Lingering seasonal volatility and any late-month inventory adjustments represent the primary swing factors that could shift probabilities toward adjacent bands.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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