Russia's political system under President Vladimir Putin demonstrates continued resilience amid the Ukraine conflict, with no verified signs of organized elite challenges or military defections capable of triggering a coup attempt through late 2026. Heightened Kremlin security protocols since March, including expanded surveillance and restricted access, responded to earlier European intelligence assessments citing tensions around figures like former defense minister Sergei Shoigu, yet these measures have reinforced rather than undermined control over security services and the high command. Recent FSB actions against alleged external plots, alongside state polling showing trust in Putin near 70 percent despite war-related strains, align with trader consensus that structural safeguards and elite cohesion make an executed coup attempt improbable by year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว7% โอกาส
$126,094 ปริมาณ
$126,094 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
7% โอกาส
$126,094 ปริมาณ
$126,094 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's political system under President Vladimir Putin demonstrates continued resilience amid the Ukraine conflict, with no verified signs of organized elite challenges or military defections capable of triggering a coup attempt through late 2026. Heightened Kremlin security protocols since March, including expanded surveillance and restricted access, responded to earlier European intelligence assessments citing tensions around figures like former defense minister Sergei Shoigu, yet these measures have reinforced rather than undermined control over security services and the high command. Recent FSB actions against alleged external plots, alongside state polling showing trust in Putin near 70 percent despite war-related strains, align with trader consensus that structural safeguards and elite cohesion make an executed coup attempt improbable by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$126,094วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's political system under President Vladimir Putin demonstrates continued resilience amid the Ukraine conflict, with no verified signs of organized elite challenges or military defections capable of triggering a coup attempt through late 2026. Heightened Kremlin security protocols since March, including expanded surveillance and restricted access, responded to earlier European intelligence assessments citing tensions around figures like former defense minister Sergei Shoigu, yet these measures have reinforced rather than undermined control over security services and the high command. Recent FSB actions against alleged external plots, alongside state polling showing trust in Putin near 70 percent despite war-related strains, align with trader consensus that structural safeguards and elite cohesion make an executed coup attempt improbable by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$126,094วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's political system under President Vladimir Putin demonstrates continued resilience amid the Ukraine conflict, with no verified signs of organized elite challenges or military defections capable of triggering a coup attempt through late 2026. Heightened Kremlin security protocols since March, including expanded surveillance and restricted access, responded to earlier European intelligence assessments citing tensions around figures like former defense minister Sergei Shoigu, yet these measures have reinforced rather than undermined control over security services and the high command. Recent FSB actions against alleged external plots, alongside state polling showing trust in Putin near 70 percent despite war-related strains, align with trader consensus that structural safeguards and elite cohesion make an executed coup attempt improbable by year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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