Market-implied odds for the September 2026 US monthly CPI show a tight distribution, with 0.5% carrying the highest probability at 25% and nearby outcomes from 0.4% to 0.6% collectively exceeding 50%, underscoring uncertainty in the inflation trajectory. Recent labor market softening and mixed producer price signals have tempered expectations for acceleration, while persistent services inflation and energy price volatility keep upside risks in play. Traders are weighing the latest CPI print against Federal Reserve communications on the policy path, with the upcoming FOMC meeting and any revisions to prior data serving as near-term catalysts. The spread across outcomes highlights how small shifts in core components could alter the final reading and influence rate-cut probabilities priced into Treasury yields.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSeptember Inflation US - Monthly
0.6% 31%
0.5% 25%
0.4% 16%
0.7% 13%
≤0.0%
4%
0.1%
5%
0.2%
7%
0.3%
19%
0.4%
16%
0.5%
25%
0.6%
31%
0.7%
13%
≥0.8%
12%
0.6% 31%
0.5% 25%
0.4% 16%
0.7% 13%
≤0.0%
4%
0.1%
5%
0.2%
7%
0.3%
19%
0.4%
16%
0.5%
25%
0.6%
31%
0.7%
13%
≥0.8%
12%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds for the September 2026 US monthly CPI show a tight distribution, with 0.5% carrying the highest probability at 25% and nearby outcomes from 0.4% to 0.6% collectively exceeding 50%, underscoring uncertainty in the inflation trajectory. Recent labor market softening and mixed producer price signals have tempered expectations for acceleration, while persistent services inflation and energy price volatility keep upside risks in play. Traders are weighing the latest CPI print against Federal Reserve communications on the policy path, with the upcoming FOMC meeting and any revisions to prior data serving as near-term catalysts. The spread across outcomes highlights how small shifts in core components could alter the final reading and influence rate-cut probabilities priced into Treasury yields.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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