Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a commanding position in the São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent Republicanos candidate, with recent polls from Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and AtlasIntel showing consistent double-digit leads over Fernando Haddad of the Workers’ Party. This polling advantage, combined with strong approval ratings and limited momentum for alternative challengers, underpins trader consensus on a high probability of re-election on October 4, 2026. Kim Kataguiri and other minor candidates register below 5 percent in surveys, reflecting fragmented opposition that raises the prospect of a first-round outcome. Haddad’s trailing share aligns with his role as the primary challenger amid concerns from PT strategists about insufficient third-way support to force a runoff.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTarcísio de Freitas 82%
Kim Kataguiri 10.4%
Fernando Haddad 8.9%
Márcio França 1.7%
$26,822 ปริมาณ
$26,822 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Tarcísio de Freitas
82%
Kim Kataguiri
10%
Fernando Haddad
9%
Márcio França
2%
Erika Hilton
2%
Tarcísio de Freitas 82%
Kim Kataguiri 10.4%
Fernando Haddad 8.9%
Márcio França 1.7%
$26,822 ปริมาณ
$26,822 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Tarcísio de Freitas
$11,964 ปริมาณ
82%
Kim Kataguiri
$4,221 ปริมาณ
10%
Fernando Haddad
$4,053 ปริมาณ
9%
Márcio França
$2,898 ปริมาณ
2%
Erika Hilton
$3,685 ปริมาณ
2%
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a commanding position in the São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent Republicanos candidate, with recent polls from Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and AtlasIntel showing consistent double-digit leads over Fernando Haddad of the Workers’ Party. This polling advantage, combined with strong approval ratings and limited momentum for alternative challengers, underpins trader consensus on a high probability of re-election on October 4, 2026. Kim Kataguiri and other minor candidates register below 5 percent in surveys, reflecting fragmented opposition that raises the prospect of a first-round outcome. Haddad’s trailing share aligns with his role as the primary challenger amid concerns from PT strategists about insufficient third-way support to force a runoff.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,822วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a commanding position in the São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent Republicanos candidate, with recent polls from Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and AtlasIntel showing consistent double-digit leads over Fernando Haddad of the Workers’ Party. This polling advantage, combined with strong approval ratings and limited momentum for alternative challengers, underpins trader consensus on a high probability of re-election on October 4, 2026. Kim Kataguiri and other minor candidates register below 5 percent in surveys, reflecting fragmented opposition that raises the prospect of a first-round outcome. Haddad’s trailing share aligns with his role as the primary challenger amid concerns from PT strategists about insufficient third-way support to force a runoff.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,822วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a commanding position in the São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent Republicanos candidate, with recent polls from Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and AtlasIntel showing consistent double-digit leads over Fernando Haddad of the Workers’ Party. This polling advantage, combined with strong approval ratings and limited momentum for alternative challengers, underpins trader consensus on a high probability of re-election on October 4, 2026. Kim Kataguiri and other minor candidates register below 5 percent in surveys, reflecting fragmented opposition that raises the prospect of a first-round outcome. Haddad’s trailing share aligns with his role as the primary challenger amid concerns from PT strategists about insufficient third-way support to force a runoff.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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