The Swedish Social Democratic Party's sustained lead in recent opinion polls, averaging around 33 percent as of early May 2026 and ahead of the Sweden Democrats by roughly 13 points, drives trader consensus on its strong position to win the most Riksdag seats in the September 13 general election. This reflects stable voter support for the largest party under proportional representation, with red-green bloc projections often nearing or exceeding 190 seats compared to the Tidö-aligned parties. Recent polling from Ipsos, Novus, and Demoskop shows little erosion despite government efforts on immigration and security. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major scandals involving party leaders, unexpected economic downturns, or significant polling misses of historical magnitude, though structural factors like the four percent threshold limit smaller parties' chances.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLiberals and Sweden Democrats announce removal of “red‑line” restrictions on SD coalition participation, signalling a possible reunification of the Tidö bloc and causing a sharp
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) dips to 90%3%
Liberals and Sweden Democrats announce removal of “red‑line” restrictions on SD coalition participation, signalling a possible reunification of the Tidö bloc and causing a sharp drop in S’s










ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย