OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Luna model drove the overwhelming trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability by surging to roughly 41% of OpenRouter token volume in the week of September 7–13, 2026. Fresh usage data from OpenRouter and independent trackers such as tidelines.ai show the model processing 18T+ tokens daily, lifting OpenAI's overall lab share to 25.6%—well ahead of DeepSeek at 21.5% and other labs. This reflects strong developer preference for the model's capabilities in production workloads after recent capability gains. While the lead appears decisive, final resolution hinges on the precise weekly aggregation window; a sudden routing shift toward cheaper open-weight alternatives or an unexpected data revision could still narrow the gap before settlement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOpenAI 100.0%
DeepSeek <1%
Z.ai <1%
Tencent <1%
$10,672 ปริมาณ
$10,672 ปริมาณ
Sep 15, 2026
DeepSeek
No
Z.ai
No
OpenAI
Yes
Tencent
No
Xiaomi
No
No
Anthropic
No
MiniMax
No
Nvidia
No
Qwen
No
Meta
No
xAI
No
OpenAI 100.0%
DeepSeek <1%
Z.ai <1%
Tencent <1%
$10,672 ปริมาณ
$10,672 ปริมาณ
Sep 15, 2026
DeepSeek
$1,467 ปริมาณ
No
Z.ai
$1,195 ปริมาณ
No
OpenAI
$3,180 ปริมาณ
Yes
Tencent
$1,318 ปริมาณ
No
Xiaomi
$427 ปริมาณ
No
$603 ปริมาณ
No
Anthropic
$464 ปริมาณ
No
MiniMax
$377 ปริมาณ
No
Nvidia
$462 ปริมาณ
No
Qwen
$394 ปริมาณ
No
Meta
$337 ปริมาณ
No
xAI
$449 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Luna model drove the overwhelming trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability by surging to roughly 41% of OpenRouter token volume in the week of September 7–13, 2026. Fresh usage data from OpenRouter and independent trackers such as tidelines.ai show the model processing 18T+ tokens daily, lifting OpenAI's overall lab share to 25.6%—well ahead of DeepSeek at 21.5% and other labs. This reflects strong developer preference for the model's capabilities in production workloads after recent capability gains. While the lead appears decisive, final resolution hinges on the precise weekly aggregation window; a sudden routing shift toward cheaper open-weight alternatives or an unexpected data revision could still narrow the gap before settlement.
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,672วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 3:49 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Luna model drove the overwhelming trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability by surging to roughly 41% of OpenRouter token volume in the week of September 7–13, 2026. Fresh usage data from OpenRouter and independent trackers such as tidelines.ai show the model processing 18T+ tokens daily, lifting OpenAI's overall lab share to 25.6%—well ahead of DeepSeek at 21.5% and other labs. This reflects strong developer preference for the model's capabilities in production workloads after recent capability gains. While the lead appears decisive, final resolution hinges on the precise weekly aggregation window; a sudden routing shift toward cheaper open-weight alternatives or an unexpected data revision could still narrow the gap before settlement.
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,672วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 3:49 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Luna model drove the overwhelming trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability by surging to roughly 41% of OpenRouter token volume in the week of September 7–13, 2026. Fresh usage data from OpenRouter and independent trackers such as tidelines.ai show the model processing 18T+ tokens daily, lifting OpenAI's overall lab share to 25.6%—well ahead of DeepSeek at 21.5% and other labs. This reflects strong developer preference for the model's capabilities in production workloads after recent capability gains. While the lead appears decisive, final resolution hinges on the precise weekly aggregation window; a sudden routing shift toward cheaper open-weight alternatives or an unexpected data revision could still narrow the gap before settlement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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