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icon for 2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

icon for 2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

130m+ 29%

120-125m 16%

115-120m 16%

125-130m 14%

Polymarket
BAGO

130m+ 29%

120-125m 16%

115-120m 16%

125-130m 14%

Polymarket
BAGO

<85m

$324 Vol.

<1%

85-90m

$419 Vol.

<1%

90-95m

$1,552 Vol.

1%

95-100m

$269 Vol.

1%

100-105m

$791 Vol.

1%

105-110m

$436 Vol.

5%

110-115m

$526 Vol.

11%

115-120m

$1,025 Vol.

16%

120-125m

$408 Vol.

16%

125-130m

$1,204 Vol.

14%

130m+

$307 Vol.

29%

The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent developments in the 2026 midterm cycle, including a Democratic edge in generic congressional ballot polling and a measurable enthusiasm gap favoring Democratic voters, have kept projected House turnout levels clustered in the 115–130 million range. With all 435 seats contested amid ongoing primaries, redistricting adjustments in key states, and economic concerns shaping voter mobilization, traders see competing pressures from Republican structural advantages and Democratic efforts to boost participation among higher-propensity groups. Historical midterm patterns show turnout typically trails presidential years by 10–15 percentage points, yet competitive national conditions and early campaign intensity could sustain elevated participation closer to 2018 levels. Scheduled primaries through summer and fall legislative actions remain key variables that could shift the balance before November voting.

The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.

Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$7,260
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent developments in the 2026 midterm cycle, including a Democratic edge in generic congressional ballot polling and a measurable enthusiasm gap favoring Democratic voters, have kept projected House turnout levels clustered in the 115–130 million range. With all 435 seats contested amid ongoing primaries, redistricting adjustments in key states, and economic concerns shaping voter mobilization, traders see competing pressures from Republican structural advantages and Democratic efforts to boost participation among higher-propensity groups. Historical midterm patterns show turnout typically trails presidential years by 10–15 percentage points, yet competitive national conditions and early campaign intensity could sustain elevated participation closer to 2018 levels. Scheduled primaries through summer and fall legislative actions remain key variables that could shift the balance before November voting.

The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.

Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$7,260
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "2026 Midterms: House Turnout" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 11 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "130m+" sa 29%, sinusundan ng "120-125m" sa 17%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 29¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 29% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "2026 Midterms: House Turnout" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Feb 20, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "2026 Midterms: House Turnout," i-browse ang 11 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "2026 Midterms: House Turnout" ay "130m+" sa 29%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 29% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "120-125m" sa 17%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "2026 Midterms: House Turnout" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.