Trader consensus heavily favors conservative lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella to finish second in Colombia's May 31 presidential election first round, reflecting recent polls like CNC (early May) showing him at 20.4% behind leader Iván Cepeda (37.2%) and ahead of Paloma Valencia (15.6%), alongside AtlasIntel data placing him at 29.4% versus her 20.9%. De la Espriella's outsider appeal and superior simulated runoff performance against Cepeda have solidified his edge, despite Valencia's gains in trackers like Yanhaas. A public feud between the rivals this week underscores the tight contest for the runoff berth, with final debates and undecided voters (over 20% in polls) as key wildcards before ballots close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateColombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place
Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place
Abelardo de la Espriella 70%
Paloma Valencia 19%
Iván Cepeda Castro 12.2%
Sergio Fajardo <1%
$83,575 Vol.
$83,575 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella
70%
Paloma Valencia
19%
Iván Cepeda Castro
12%
Sergio Fajardo
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
<1%
Claudia López
<1%
Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%
Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%
Vicky Dávila
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
<1%
Roy Barreras
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%
Daniel Quintero
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella 70%
Paloma Valencia 19%
Iván Cepeda Castro 12.2%
Sergio Fajardo <1%
$83,575 Vol.
$83,575 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella
$7,962 Vol.
70%
Paloma Valencia
$12,858 Vol.
19%
Iván Cepeda Castro
$9,118 Vol.
12%
Sergio Fajardo
$4,528 Vol.
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
$3,914 Vol.
<1%
Claudia López
$4,684 Vol.
<1%
Mauricio Cárdenas
$3,907 Vol.
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
$3,927 Vol.
<1%
Germán Vargas Lleras
$4,075 Vol.
<1%
Vicky Dávila
$3,668 Vol.
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
$3,313 Vol.
<1%
Roy Barreras
$4,477 Vol.
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
$3,406 Vol.
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
$3,372 Vol.
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
$3,400 Vol.
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
$3,432 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Quintero
$3,532 Vol.
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus heavily favors conservative lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella to finish second in Colombia's May 31 presidential election first round, reflecting recent polls like CNC (early May) showing him at 20.4% behind leader Iván Cepeda (37.2%) and ahead of Paloma Valencia (15.6%), alongside AtlasIntel data placing him at 29.4% versus her 20.9%. De la Espriella's outsider appeal and superior simulated runoff performance against Cepeda have solidified his edge, despite Valencia's gains in trackers like Yanhaas. A public feud between the rivals this week underscores the tight contest for the runoff berth, with final debates and undecided voters (over 20% in polls) as key wildcards before ballots close.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volume
$83,575Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus heavily favors conservative lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella to finish second in Colombia's May 31 presidential election first round, reflecting recent polls like CNC (early May) showing him at 20.4% behind leader Iván Cepeda (37.2%) and ahead of Paloma Valencia (15.6%), alongside AtlasIntel data placing him at 29.4% versus her 20.9%. De la Espriella's outsider appeal and superior simulated runoff performance against Cepeda have solidified his edge, despite Valencia's gains in trackers like Yanhaas. A public feud between the rivals this week underscores the tight contest for the runoff berth, with final debates and undecided voters (over 20% in polls) as key wildcards before ballots close.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$83,575Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors conservative lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella to finish second in Colombia's May 31 presidential election first round, reflecting recent polls like CNC (early May) showing him at 20.4% behind leader Iván Cepeda (37.2%) and ahead of Paloma Valencia (15.6%), alongside AtlasIntel data placing him at 29.4% versus her 20.9%. De la Espriella's outsider appeal and superior simulated runoff performance against Cepeda have solidified his edge, despite Valencia's gains in trackers like Yanhaas. A public feud between the rivals this week underscores the tight contest for the runoff berth, with final debates and undecided voters (over 20% in polls) as key wildcards before ballots close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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