Trader consensus on August 2026 Core CPI year-over-year remains closely split, with 2.4% holding a narrow 39.5% implied probability edge over 2.3% at 35%, reflecting uncertainty after July’s 2.5% reading—the lowest in five months and in line with expectations. The soft July print, featuring a 0.2% monthly core increase amid shelter moderation and broad-based goods normalization, has tempered near-term reacceleration fears, though analysts note potential upside from category rebounds and lingering services pressures. Weak July employment data and stable consumer inflation expectations around 3.6% further support a contained path, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 2.38%. Key swing factors include the next labor report and any oil price volatility ahead of the September 11 release.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update2.4% 40%
2.3% 36%
2.5% 20%
2.7% 4.7%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.0%
1%
2.1%
<1%
2.2%
4%
2.3%
36%
2.4%
40%
2.5%
20%
2.6%
4%
2.7%
5%
2.8%
3%
≥2.9%
1%
2.4% 40%
2.3% 36%
2.5% 20%
2.7% 4.7%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.0%
$335 Vol.
1%
2.1%
$274 Vol.
<1%
2.2%
$375 Vol.
4%
2.3%
$373 Vol.
36%
2.4%
$2,125 Vol.
40%
2.5%
$226 Vol.
20%
2.6%
$878 Vol.
4%
2.7%
$753 Vol.
5%
2.8%
$881 Vol.
3%
≥2.9%
$421 Vol.
1%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on August 2026 Core CPI year-over-year remains closely split, with 2.4% holding a narrow 39.5% implied probability edge over 2.3% at 35%, reflecting uncertainty after July’s 2.5% reading—the lowest in five months and in line with expectations. The soft July print, featuring a 0.2% monthly core increase amid shelter moderation and broad-based goods normalization, has tempered near-term reacceleration fears, though analysts note potential upside from category rebounds and lingering services pressures. Weak July employment data and stable consumer inflation expectations around 3.6% further support a contained path, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 2.38%. Key swing factors include the next labor report and any oil price volatility ahead of the September 11 release.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Volume
$6,642Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on August 2026 Core CPI year-over-year remains closely split, with 2.4% holding a narrow 39.5% implied probability edge over 2.3% at 35%, reflecting uncertainty after July’s 2.5% reading—the lowest in five months and in line with expectations. The soft July print, featuring a 0.2% monthly core increase amid shelter moderation and broad-based goods normalization, has tempered near-term reacceleration fears, though analysts note potential upside from category rebounds and lingering services pressures. Weak July employment data and stable consumer inflation expectations around 3.6% further support a contained path, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 2.38%. Key swing factors include the next labor report and any oil price volatility ahead of the September 11 release.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$6,642Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on August 2026 Core CPI year-over-year remains closely split, with 2.4% holding a narrow 39.5% implied probability edge over 2.3% at 35%, reflecting uncertainty after July’s 2.5% reading—the lowest in five months and in line with expectations. The soft July print, featuring a 0.2% monthly core increase amid shelter moderation and broad-based goods normalization, has tempered near-term reacceleration fears, though analysts note potential upside from category rebounds and lingering services pressures. Weak July employment data and stable consumer inflation expectations around 3.6% further support a contained path, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 2.38%. Key swing factors include the next labor report and any oil price volatility ahead of the September 11 release.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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