Redistricting has shifted Florida's 9th Congressional District significantly rightward since the prior cycle, producing ratings of Likely Republican or Solid Republican from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed through the August 18 Democratic primary, while Dan Green narrowly secured the Republican nomination in a crowded field on the same date. These structural changes, combined with midterm voter registration and turnout patterns favoring Republicans, underpin the market's 70% consensus probability for a Republican victory against Soto on November 3. Limited post-primary polling leaves room for general election developments to influence final positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFL-09 House Election Winner
FL-09 House Election Winner
$18,476 Vol.
$18,476 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
72%
Democratic Party
30%
$18,476 Vol.
$18,476 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$10,873 Vol.
72%
Democratic Party
$7,603 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has shifted Florida's 9th Congressional District significantly rightward since the prior cycle, producing ratings of Likely Republican or Solid Republican from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed through the August 18 Democratic primary, while Dan Green narrowly secured the Republican nomination in a crowded field on the same date. These structural changes, combined with midterm voter registration and turnout patterns favoring Republicans, underpin the market's 70% consensus probability for a Republican victory against Soto on November 3. Limited post-primary polling leaves room for general election developments to influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$18,476Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has shifted Florida's 9th Congressional District significantly rightward since the prior cycle, producing ratings of Likely Republican or Solid Republican from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed through the August 18 Democratic primary, while Dan Green narrowly secured the Republican nomination in a crowded field on the same date. These structural changes, combined with midterm voter registration and turnout patterns favoring Republicans, underpin the market's 70% consensus probability for a Republican victory against Soto on November 3. Limited post-primary polling leaves room for general election developments to influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,476Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has shifted Florida's 9th Congressional District significantly rightward since the prior cycle, producing ratings of Likely Republican or Solid Republican from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed through the August 18 Democratic primary, while Dan Green narrowly secured the Republican nomination in a crowded field on the same date. These structural changes, combined with midterm voter registration and turnout patterns favoring Republicans, underpin the market's 70% consensus probability for a Republican victory against Soto on November 3. Limited post-primary polling leaves room for general election developments to influence final positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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