Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 17, with implied probabilities clustered around 13–15°C at 19–22% each, as southerly winds advect cooler polar air following a recent autumnal cold front. BBC Weather's latest 14-day outlook pegs the high at 15°C under sunny intervals and gentle southerly breezes (9 mph), aligning with typical mid-May cooling trends where regional highs average 17°C but drop amid such flows. Differentiating factors include morning cloud persistence reducing solar heating, boundary layer stability limiting mixing, and frontal passage timing; GFS/ECMWF ensembles show spread of 12–16°C. Monitor Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and Ezeiza Airport observations for resolution shifts before midday peak heating.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17?
14°C 35%
15°C 23%
13°C 20%
12°C 6.5%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
7%
13°C
20%
14°C
35%
15°C
23%
16°C
6%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 35%
15°C 23%
13°C 20%
12°C 6.5%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
7%
13°C
20%
14°C
35%
15°C
23%
16°C
6%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 17, with implied probabilities clustered around 13–15°C at 19–22% each, as southerly winds advect cooler polar air following a recent autumnal cold front. BBC Weather's latest 14-day outlook pegs the high at 15°C under sunny intervals and gentle southerly breezes (9 mph), aligning with typical mid-May cooling trends where regional highs average 17°C but drop amid such flows. Differentiating factors include morning cloud persistence reducing solar heating, boundary layer stability limiting mixing, and frontal passage timing; GFS/ECMWF ensembles show spread of 12–16°C. Monitor Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and Ezeiza Airport observations for resolution shifts before midday peak heating.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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