Recent numerical weather prediction model runs from regional agencies have established a stable post-frontal high-pressure ridge over the Cape Peninsula, supporting clear skies and light south-easterly flow that favors a daily maximum of 20°C at Cape Town International Airport. This setup aligns with typical mid-May climatology for the region, where autumnal subsidence limits cloud development and keeps temperatures near seasonal norms of 18–21°C. Trader consensus has converged sharply on the 20°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability, reflecting consistent guidance across ensemble forecasts. Only an unexpected coastal low or increased marine layer stratus would realistically shift the maximum into adjacent brackets before official observations finalize.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 17?
20°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
$19,731 Vol.
$19,731 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
$19,731 Vol.
$19,731 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTRecent numerical weather prediction model runs from regional agencies have established a stable post-frontal high-pressure ridge over the Cape Peninsula, supporting clear skies and light south-easterly flow that favors a daily maximum of 20°C at Cape Town International Airport. This setup aligns with typical mid-May climatology for the region, where autumnal subsidence limits cloud development and keeps temperatures near seasonal norms of 18–21°C. Trader consensus has converged sharply on the 20°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability, reflecting consistent guidance across ensemble forecasts. Only an unexpected coastal low or increased marine layer stratus would realistically shift the maximum into adjacent brackets before official observations finalize.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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