Current forecast ensembles place Chengdu’s May 17 high temperature in the narrow 28–30 °C band, reflecting a balance between seasonal warming in the Sichuan Basin and lingering moisture that favors afternoon convective clouds. Southerly flow advecting subtropical air supports daytime heating toward 29–30 °C, yet increasing humidity and scattered showers could cap the peak near 28 °C if cloud cover builds earlier than expected. Model consensus remains tight, with only modest spread arising from differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any thunderstorms. This scientific uncertainty explains why the three leading outcomes—28 °C, 30 °C, and 29 °C—command nearly equal implied probabilities among traders weighing the latest guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 17?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 17?
28°C 24%
30°C 24%
29°C 21%
31°C 11%
BAGO
$10,631 Vol.
BAGO
$10,631 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
24%
29°C
21%
30°C
24%
31°C
11%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 24%
30°C 24%
29°C 21%
31°C 11%
BAGO
$10,631 Vol.
BAGO
$10,631 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$1,060 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$924 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$657 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,251 Vol.
4%
27°C
$1,263 Vol.
10%
28°C
$1,229 Vol.
24%
29°C
$1,230 Vol.
21%
30°C
$350 Vol.
24%
31°C
$646 Vol.
11%
32°C
$777 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$1,244 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast ensembles place Chengdu’s May 17 high temperature in the narrow 28–30 °C band, reflecting a balance between seasonal warming in the Sichuan Basin and lingering moisture that favors afternoon convective clouds. Southerly flow advecting subtropical air supports daytime heating toward 29–30 °C, yet increasing humidity and scattered showers could cap the peak near 28 °C if cloud cover builds earlier than expected. Model consensus remains tight, with only modest spread arising from differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any thunderstorms. This scientific uncertainty explains why the three leading outcomes—28 °C, 30 °C, and 29 °C—command nearly equal implied probabilities among traders weighing the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$10,631Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast ensembles place Chengdu’s May 17 high temperature in the narrow 28–30 °C band, reflecting a balance between seasonal warming in the Sichuan Basin and lingering moisture that favors afternoon convective clouds. Southerly flow advecting subtropical air supports daytime heating toward 29–30 °C, yet increasing humidity and scattered showers could cap the peak near 28 °C if cloud cover builds earlier than expected. Model consensus remains tight, with only modest spread arising from differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any thunderstorms. This scientific uncertainty explains why the three leading outcomes—28 °C, 30 °C, and 29 °C—command nearly equal implied probabilities among traders weighing the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,631Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUCurrent forecast ensembles place Chengdu’s May 17 high temperature in the narrow 28–30 °C band, reflecting a balance between seasonal warming in the Sichuan Basin and lingering moisture that favors afternoon convective clouds. Southerly flow advecting subtropical air supports daytime heating toward 29–30 °C, yet increasing humidity and scattered showers could cap the peak near 28 °C if cloud cover builds earlier than expected. Model consensus remains tight, with only modest spread arising from differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any thunderstorms. This scientific uncertainty explains why the three leading outcomes—28 °C, 30 °C, and 29 °C—command nearly equal implied probabilities among traders weighing the latest guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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