Current ensemble forecasts from global models position Chengdu’s May 18 maximum in the narrow 28–32 °C window, reflecting the city’s location in the Sichuan Basin where southerly flow and increasing solar insolation drive late-spring warming. Subtropical high pressure supports gradual daytime heating while scattered afternoon convection introduces 1–2 °C day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities tightly bunched across the 29–33 °C brackets. Historical May averages near 29 °C provide a climatological baseline, yet short-term model spread and potential urban heat-island amplification leave room for modest upside or downside shifts before final observational resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 18?
32°C 17%
30°C 16%
31°C 16%
33°C 14%
26°C or below
3%
27°C
11%
28°C
10%
29°C
14%
30°C
16%
31°C
16%
32°C
17%
33°C
14%
34°C
9%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 17%
30°C 16%
31°C 16%
33°C 14%
26°C or below
3%
27°C
11%
28°C
10%
29°C
14%
30°C
16%
31°C
16%
32°C
17%
33°C
14%
34°C
9%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUCurrent ensemble forecasts from global models position Chengdu’s May 18 maximum in the narrow 28–32 °C window, reflecting the city’s location in the Sichuan Basin where southerly flow and increasing solar insolation drive late-spring warming. Subtropical high pressure supports gradual daytime heating while scattered afternoon convection introduces 1–2 °C day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities tightly bunched across the 29–33 °C brackets. Historical May averages near 29 °C provide a climatological baseline, yet short-term model spread and potential urban heat-island amplification leave room for modest upside or downside shifts before final observational resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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