Latest China Meteorological Administration and global model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) project Beijing's May 17 highest temperature near 20–23°C, with trader consensus mirroring this tight spread amid a weak cold front ushering northerly winds, light rain, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Over the past 48 hours, temperatures have cooled from mid-30s peaks earlier in the week as a trough deepens over northern China, overriding May's climatological average high of ~27°C. Key differentiators include frontal timing—earlier clearing favors 22–23°C, while prolonged overcast pushes toward 17–19°C—and surface wind shear mixing cooler boundary layer air. New 12Z model runs expected today could sharpen these odds before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
20°C 32%
21°C 26%
19°C 25%
18°C 9.8%
BAGO
BAGO
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
10%
19°C
25%
20°C
29%
21°C
26%
22°C
4%
23°C or higher
2%
20°C 32%
21°C 26%
19°C 25%
18°C 9.8%
BAGO
BAGO
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
$490 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$476 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$395 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$319 Vol.
1%
17°C
$183 Vol.
5%
18°C
$279 Vol.
10%
19°C
$112 Vol.
25%
20°C
$330 Vol.
29%
21°C
$264 Vol.
26%
22°C
$758 Vol.
4%
23°C or higher
$753 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration and global model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) project Beijing's May 17 highest temperature near 20–23°C, with trader consensus mirroring this tight spread amid a weak cold front ushering northerly winds, light rain, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Over the past 48 hours, temperatures have cooled from mid-30s peaks earlier in the week as a trough deepens over northern China, overriding May's climatological average high of ~27°C. Key differentiators include frontal timing—earlier clearing favors 22–23°C, while prolonged overcast pushes toward 17–19°C—and surface wind shear mixing cooler boundary layer air. New 12Z model runs expected today could sharpen these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$4,359Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration and global model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) project Beijing's May 17 highest temperature near 20–23°C, with trader consensus mirroring this tight spread amid a weak cold front ushering northerly winds, light rain, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Over the past 48 hours, temperatures have cooled from mid-30s peaks earlier in the week as a trough deepens over northern China, overriding May's climatological average high of ~27°C. Key differentiators include frontal timing—earlier clearing favors 22–23°C, while prolonged overcast pushes toward 17–19°C—and surface wind shear mixing cooler boundary layer air. New 12Z model runs expected today could sharpen these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,359Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAALatest China Meteorological Administration and global model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) project Beijing's May 17 highest temperature near 20–23°C, with trader consensus mirroring this tight spread amid a weak cold front ushering northerly winds, light rain, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Over the past 48 hours, temperatures have cooled from mid-30s peaks earlier in the week as a trough deepens over northern China, overriding May's climatological average high of ~27°C. Key differentiators include frontal timing—earlier clearing favors 22–23°C, while prolonged overcast pushes toward 17–19°C—and surface wind shear mixing cooler boundary layer air. New 12Z model runs expected today could sharpen these odds before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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