Recent official temperature readings from the China Meteorological Administration and local Guangzhou stations confirm a daytime peak of 27°C under predominantly overcast skies with limited solar heating and scattered light showers that suppressed further warming. Ensemble model runs from the CMA, ECMWF, and GFS converged on this outcome as cloud cover and moisture advection maintained surface temperatures near the seasonal average high of 28–29°C but prevented any exceedance. Market-implied odds at 100% for 27°C reflect this consensus backed by real-time observations. Only an unexpected late-afternoon clearing combined with stronger insolation or a revision to station data could realistically shift the recorded high.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 17?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,556 Vol.
$30,556 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,556 Vol.
$30,556 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGRecent official temperature readings from the China Meteorological Administration and local Guangzhou stations confirm a daytime peak of 27°C under predominantly overcast skies with limited solar heating and scattered light showers that suppressed further warming. Ensemble model runs from the CMA, ECMWF, and GFS converged on this outcome as cloud cover and moisture advection maintained surface temperatures near the seasonal average high of 28–29°C but prevented any exceedance. Market-implied odds at 100% for 27°C reflect this consensus backed by real-time observations. Only an unexpected late-afternoon clearing combined with stronger insolation or a revision to station data could realistically shift the recorded high.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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