Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a daytime high in the mid-to-upper 80s under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies, positioning 86°F or higher as the market leader at 86.4% implied probability. Model consensus from NOAA and private ensembles supports this range, consistent with climatological normals near 87°F for mid-May, while scattered showers introduce modest uncertainty that keeps the 84–85°F bin at 13.5%. Traders are weighting the latest guidance showing limited cooling overnight and minimal frontal influence, with the next model runs and afternoon observations expected to refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Houston on May 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 17?
86°F or higher 85.9%
84-85°F 16%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
$17,654 Vol.
$17,654 Vol.
May 17, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
16%
86°F or higher
86%
86°F or higher 85.9%
84-85°F 16%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
$17,654 Vol.
$17,654 Vol.
May 17, 2026
67°F or below
$1,361 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,053 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$3,678 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$366 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$476 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$250 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$795 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,605 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$3,514 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$2,094 Vol.
16%
86°F or higher
$1,462 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a daytime high in the mid-to-upper 80s under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies, positioning 86°F or higher as the market leader at 86.4% implied probability. Model consensus from NOAA and private ensembles supports this range, consistent with climatological normals near 87°F for mid-May, while scattered showers introduce modest uncertainty that keeps the 84–85°F bin at 13.5%. Traders are weighting the latest guidance showing limited cooling overnight and minimal frontal influence, with the next model runs and afternoon observations expected to refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$17,654Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a daytime high in the mid-to-upper 80s under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies, positioning 86°F or higher as the market leader at 86.4% implied probability. Model consensus from NOAA and private ensembles supports this range, consistent with climatological normals near 87°F for mid-May, while scattered showers introduce modest uncertainty that keeps the 84–85°F bin at 13.5%. Traders are weighting the latest guidance showing limited cooling overnight and minimal frontal influence, with the next model runs and afternoon observations expected to refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,654Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOURecent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a daytime high in the mid-to-upper 80s under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies, positioning 86°F or higher as the market leader at 86.4% implied probability. Model consensus from NOAA and private ensembles supports this range, consistent with climatological normals near 87°F for mid-May, while scattered showers introduce modest uncertainty that keeps the 84–85°F bin at 13.5%. Traders are weighting the latest guidance showing limited cooling overnight and minimal frontal influence, with the next model runs and afternoon observations expected to refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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