Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 40°C or higher at 51% implied probability for Jeddah's peak temperature today, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting highs near 39°C under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Arabian Peninsula. This system fosters subsidence—sinking air that suppresses clouds and amplifies daytime radiative heating—aligning with mid-May climatology, where daily maximums average 37–38°C but have spiked above 41°C in early May amid clear skies and minimal sea-breeze moderation from the Red Sea. Recent observations confirm the hot pattern, with Jeddah hitting 45°C on May 4. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to potential afternoon gusts or haze; hourly updates from Saudi National Center of Meteorology stations at King Abdulaziz Airport will sharpen resolution as the afternoon peak nears.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 15?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 15?
40°C or higher 59%
39°C 28%
38°C 6%
31°C <1%
$20,298 Vol.
$20,298 Vol.
May 15, 2026
31°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
6%
39°C
28%
40°C or higher
59%
40°C or higher 59%
39°C 28%
38°C 6%
31°C <1%
$20,298 Vol.
$20,298 Vol.
May 15, 2026
31°C
$1,611 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,699 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$2,038 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$5,047 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$2,270 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$1,283 Vol.
6%
39°C
$554 Vol.
28%
40°C or higher
$1,232 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 40°C or higher at 51% implied probability for Jeddah's peak temperature today, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting highs near 39°C under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Arabian Peninsula. This system fosters subsidence—sinking air that suppresses clouds and amplifies daytime radiative heating—aligning with mid-May climatology, where daily maximums average 37–38°C but have spiked above 41°C in early May amid clear skies and minimal sea-breeze moderation from the Red Sea. Recent observations confirm the hot pattern, with Jeddah hitting 45°C on May 4. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to potential afternoon gusts or haze; hourly updates from Saudi National Center of Meteorology stations at King Abdulaziz Airport will sharpen resolution as the afternoon peak nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
Volume
$20,298Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 40°C or higher at 51% implied probability for Jeddah's peak temperature today, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting highs near 39°C under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Arabian Peninsula. This system fosters subsidence—sinking air that suppresses clouds and amplifies daytime radiative heating—aligning with mid-May climatology, where daily maximums average 37–38°C but have spiked above 41°C in early May amid clear skies and minimal sea-breeze moderation from the Red Sea. Recent observations confirm the hot pattern, with Jeddah hitting 45°C on May 4. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to potential afternoon gusts or haze; hourly updates from Saudi National Center of Meteorology stations at King Abdulaziz Airport will sharpen resolution as the afternoon peak nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,298Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 40°C or higher at 51% implied probability for Jeddah's peak temperature today, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting highs near 39°C under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Arabian Peninsula. This system fosters subsidence—sinking air that suppresses clouds and amplifies daytime radiative heating—aligning with mid-May climatology, where daily maximums average 37–38°C but have spiked above 41°C in early May amid clear skies and minimal sea-breeze moderation from the Red Sea. Recent observations confirm the hot pattern, with Jeddah hitting 45°C on May 4. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to potential afternoon gusts or haze; hourly updates from Saudi National Center of Meteorology stations at King Abdulaziz Airport will sharpen resolution as the afternoon peak nears.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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