Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) latest forecast, issued May 14, projecting a maximum temperature of 34–36°C in Karachi on May 16 amid continued hot, humid conditions with west/southwesterly winds and morning humidity of 65–75%. This narrow range fuels the tight competition between 36°C (35.5% implied probability) and 35°C (30.5%), as subtle factors like sea breeze timing, urban heat island effects, and potential isolated coastal clouds could cap peaks at 35°C or push to 36°C. Historical May averages hover around 35°C under similar subtropical high pressure ridges, with dry air masses limiting convective cooling; 37°C or higher remains unlikely per model guidance. Resolution hinges on PMD's official airport station reading.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Karachi on May 16?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 16?
36°C 36%
35°C 30%
37°C or higher 15%
34°C 13%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
13%
35°C
30%
36°C
36%
37°C or higher
15%
36°C 36%
35°C 30%
37°C or higher 15%
34°C 13%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
13%
35°C
30%
36°C
36%
37°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) latest forecast, issued May 14, projecting a maximum temperature of 34–36°C in Karachi on May 16 amid continued hot, humid conditions with west/southwesterly winds and morning humidity of 65–75%. This narrow range fuels the tight competition between 36°C (35.5% implied probability) and 35°C (30.5%), as subtle factors like sea breeze timing, urban heat island effects, and potential isolated coastal clouds could cap peaks at 35°C or push to 36°C. Historical May averages hover around 35°C under similar subtropical high pressure ridges, with dry air masses limiting convective cooling; 37°C or higher remains unlikely per model guidance. Resolution hinges on PMD's official airport station reading.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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