Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance sustains a heatwave over Sindh through May 19, with continental air advection and upper-level subsidence driving strong solar heating and limited cloud cover that favor a Karachi peak of 35–37°C on May 17. Ensemble models show tight clustering in this range because sea-breeze onset from the Arabian Sea and daytime humidity of 40–70 percent can suppress or enhance the high by 1–2°C. The near-even market split among the 35°C, 36°C, and 37°C-or-higher outcomes reflects this narrow uncertainty window, with any earlier or stronger sea breeze likely anchoring the reading near 35°C while delayed marine influence pushes it to 37°C or above.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Karachi on May 17?
37°C or higher 36%
35°C 27%
36°C 23%
34°C 2.0%
$18,116 Vol.
$18,116 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
27%
36°C
29%
37°C or higher
41%
37°C or higher 36%
35°C 27%
36°C 23%
34°C 2.0%
$18,116 Vol.
$18,116 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
27%
36°C
29%
37°C or higher
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCPakistan Meteorological Department guidance sustains a heatwave over Sindh through May 19, with continental air advection and upper-level subsidence driving strong solar heating and limited cloud cover that favor a Karachi peak of 35–37°C on May 17. Ensemble models show tight clustering in this range because sea-breeze onset from the Arabian Sea and daytime humidity of 40–70 percent can suppress or enhance the high by 1–2°C. The near-even market split among the 35°C, 36°C, and 37°C-or-higher outcomes reflects this narrow uncertainty window, with any earlier or stronger sea breeze likely anchoring the reading near 35°C while delayed marine influence pushes it to 37°C or above.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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