Current atmospheric conditions over Metro Manila, including clear skies and light southerly winds under a stable high-pressure ridge, align with the market's near-certain 36°C outcome for the May 17 daily maximum. Ensemble runs from PAGASA and global numerical weather prediction models show consistent afternoon peaks driven by strong solar heating and urban heat-island amplification, exceeding the seasonal May average of 33–34°C. Official station data will resolve the market once verified against the 36°C threshold, with low chance of deviation absent unexpected cloud build-up or early precipitation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Manila on May 17?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$29,549 Vol.
$29,549 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$29,549 Vol.
$29,549 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLCurrent atmospheric conditions over Metro Manila, including clear skies and light southerly winds under a stable high-pressure ridge, align with the market's near-certain 36°C outcome for the May 17 daily maximum. Ensemble runs from PAGASA and global numerical weather prediction models show consistent afternoon peaks driven by strong solar heating and urban heat-island amplification, exceeding the seasonal May average of 33–34°C. Official station data will resolve the market once verified against the 36°C threshold, with low chance of deviation absent unexpected cloud build-up or early precipitation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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