Recent PAGASA forecasts and model consensus point to partly cloudy skies and easterly winds holding peak temperatures in Metro Manila near 34°C on May 18, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 33–35°C. Diurnal heating under high solar insolation typical of the pre-monsoon period, combined with the urban heat island effect at Ninoy Aquino International Airport, favors afternoon maxima in this narrow range, while any increase in low-level moisture or sea-breeze convergence from Manila Bay could cap readings at 33°C. Historical May climatology shows similar variability, with official daily highs fluctuating 2–3°C based on cloud timing and wind shifts. Updated PAGASA guidance and final station observations tomorrow will determine resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Manila on May 18?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 18?
34°C 37%
35°C 30%
33°C 21%
36°C 9.5%
BAGO
BAGO
May 18, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
21%
34°C
37%
35°C
30%
36°C
10%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 37%
35°C 30%
33°C 21%
36°C 9.5%
BAGO
BAGO
May 18, 2026
29°C or below
$1,022 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$113 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,088 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$964 Vol.
4%
33°C
$757 Vol.
21%
34°C
$469 Vol.
37%
35°C
$290 Vol.
30%
36°C
$1,022 Vol.
10%
37°C
$412 Vol.
2%
38°C
$343 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$305 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent PAGASA forecasts and model consensus point to partly cloudy skies and easterly winds holding peak temperatures in Metro Manila near 34°C on May 18, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 33–35°C. Diurnal heating under high solar insolation typical of the pre-monsoon period, combined with the urban heat island effect at Ninoy Aquino International Airport, favors afternoon maxima in this narrow range, while any increase in low-level moisture or sea-breeze convergence from Manila Bay could cap readings at 33°C. Historical May climatology shows similar variability, with official daily highs fluctuating 2–3°C based on cloud timing and wind shifts. Updated PAGASA guidance and final station observations tomorrow will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$6,785Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent PAGASA forecasts and model consensus point to partly cloudy skies and easterly winds holding peak temperatures in Metro Manila near 34°C on May 18, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 33–35°C. Diurnal heating under high solar insolation typical of the pre-monsoon period, combined with the urban heat island effect at Ninoy Aquino International Airport, favors afternoon maxima in this narrow range, while any increase in low-level moisture or sea-breeze convergence from Manila Bay could cap readings at 33°C. Historical May climatology shows similar variability, with official daily highs fluctuating 2–3°C based on cloud timing and wind shifts. Updated PAGASA guidance and final station observations tomorrow will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,785Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLRecent PAGASA forecasts and model consensus point to partly cloudy skies and easterly winds holding peak temperatures in Metro Manila near 34°C on May 18, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 33–35°C. Diurnal heating under high solar insolation typical of the pre-monsoon period, combined with the urban heat island effect at Ninoy Aquino International Airport, favors afternoon maxima in this narrow range, while any increase in low-level moisture or sea-breeze convergence from Manila Bay could cap readings at 33°C. Historical May climatology shows similar variability, with official daily highs fluctuating 2–3°C based on cloud timing and wind shifts. Updated PAGASA guidance and final station observations tomorrow will determine resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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