Recent European model guidance from the ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near 20–21°C in Milan on May 18, anchoring the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 35% for 20°C and 31.5% for 21°C. Mild spring conditions under a stable high-pressure system, light variable winds, and limited cloud cover are supporting daytime heating close to the May climatological average of 22°C. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and solar insolation, keeping outcomes between 19°C and 22°C highly competitive. Official observations from Malpensa International Airport tomorrow will resolve the market amid typical uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Milan on May 18?
20°C 36%
21°C 32%
19°C 19%
22°C 12%
$11,833 Vol.
$11,833 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
19%
20°C
36%
21°C
32%
22°C
12%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 36%
21°C 32%
19°C 19%
22°C 12%
$11,833 Vol.
$11,833 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
19%
20°C
36%
21°C
32%
22°C
12%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCRecent European model guidance from the ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near 20–21°C in Milan on May 18, anchoring the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 35% for 20°C and 31.5% for 21°C. Mild spring conditions under a stable high-pressure system, light variable winds, and limited cloud cover are supporting daytime heating close to the May climatological average of 22°C. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and solar insolation, keeping outcomes between 19°C and 22°C highly competitive. Official observations from Malpensa International Airport tomorrow will resolve the market amid typical uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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