Latest ensemble forecasts from global models show a southerly warm-air advection ahead of a slow-moving ridge, supporting maximum temperatures in Moscow near 28–29 °C on May 18 under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Minor differences among runs—chiefly the exact timing of increased mid-level moisture and boundary-layer mixing—account for the tight spread between the leading 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes, while 30 °C or higher remains possible only if daytime heating exceeds current guidance. These values sit well above the mid-May climatological normal of roughly 19 °C, reflecting the anomalous warmth already observed in the past week. Final model updates overnight and morning surface observations will further narrow the range before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on May 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 18?
29°C 34%
28°C 29%
30°C 20%
27°C 13%
BAGO
$11,390 Vol.
BAGO
$11,390 Vol.
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
13%
28°C
29%
29°C
34%
30°C
20%
31°C or higher
3%
29°C 34%
28°C 29%
30°C 20%
27°C 13%
BAGO
$11,390 Vol.
BAGO
$11,390 Vol.
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
$870 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$539 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,152 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,702 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,044 Vol.
1%
26°C
$656 Vol.
3%
27°C
$521 Vol.
13%
28°C
$704 Vol.
29%
29°C
$541 Vol.
34%
30°C
$424 Vol.
20%
31°C or higher
$1,237 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models show a southerly warm-air advection ahead of a slow-moving ridge, supporting maximum temperatures in Moscow near 28–29 °C on May 18 under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Minor differences among runs—chiefly the exact timing of increased mid-level moisture and boundary-layer mixing—account for the tight spread between the leading 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes, while 30 °C or higher remains possible only if daytime heating exceeds current guidance. These values sit well above the mid-May climatological normal of roughly 19 °C, reflecting the anomalous warmth already observed in the past week. Final model updates overnight and morning surface observations will further narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$11,390Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models show a southerly warm-air advection ahead of a slow-moving ridge, supporting maximum temperatures in Moscow near 28–29 °C on May 18 under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Minor differences among runs—chiefly the exact timing of increased mid-level moisture and boundary-layer mixing—account for the tight spread between the leading 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes, while 30 °C or higher remains possible only if daytime heating exceeds current guidance. These values sit well above the mid-May climatological normal of roughly 19 °C, reflecting the anomalous warmth already observed in the past week. Final model updates overnight and morning surface observations will further narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,390Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from global models show a southerly warm-air advection ahead of a slow-moving ridge, supporting maximum temperatures in Moscow near 28–29 °C on May 18 under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Minor differences among runs—chiefly the exact timing of increased mid-level moisture and boundary-layer mixing—account for the tight spread between the leading 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes, while 30 °C or higher remains possible only if daytime heating exceeds current guidance. These values sit well above the mid-May climatological normal of roughly 19 °C, reflecting the anomalous warmth already observed in the past week. Final model updates overnight and morning surface observations will further narrow the range before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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